Tiger Woods: Major or Bust

tiger

Tiger Woods is one of the most successful and wealthiest athletes in this modern era. He changed the sport of golf for the better and arguably will go down in sports history as one of the most iconic sports figures of all time. That is a monumental accomplishment considering he’s a golfer. His run in golf at the turn of century will always be remembered as one of his highest levels of play, but it was a long time ago. With 13 Majors, it wasn’t a matter of if Woods would pass Jack Nicklaus for most majors won, but when would it happen.

 

Tiger won the 2008 U.S. Open by defeating Rocco Mediate in a playoff on a surgically repaired knee. Ironically and sadly, this was the last major he has won. And last time I checked my iPhone, it did read May 2013. It’s been almost five years and the new normal question for Woods is, “Will he ever win a major again?” A lot has happened to Tiger on and off the course. By now, most people are aware that Woods is human and like all athletes, subjected to the temptations that the fame and power that famous athletes experience. He divorced the mother of his two children and bottomed out when he checked himself into a sex addition rehab center.

 

However, Tiger still has many fans and followers, myself included, eager to get a taste again of what we witnessed back in 2001. Without Tiger dominating the sport, golf is not as exciting as a viewer. With Tiger, so goes the sport of golf. With the chase of the major streak, so gives us a story of anticipation and fascination of every major that is played. He needs five to tie and six to beat Nicklaus’ record, but winning one major is looking pretty good at this point.

 

Tiger has slowly improved and revamped his golf game in the past years, giving the fans hope and optimism that we might once again be seeing the Tiger of old. He has had new swing coaches, therapists and a new caddy desperately trying to help reestablish himself as the sport’s top golfer. He has indeed won his fair share of tournaments, thankfully helping himself regain his spot as the number one golfer in the world. Nothing against Lee Westwood or Luke Donald, but they were the Millard Fillmore and Rutherford B. Hayes of that spot.

 

Tiger just won The Players Championship in compelling fashion this weekend at TPC Sawgrass in Florida. He won by two strokes and had a competitive moment with Sergio Garcia that added to the tournament’s headline. “(Sergio’s)….always complaining about something,” Tiger muttered, reminding us who’s the top dog in the sport. Tiger has already won four tournaments this year, the fastest he has won four ever in his career. But the only one that matters at this point in his life is major titles. And this year, he is 0 for 1.

 

Going into this year’s Masters, he was hyped again as usual as everyone’s pick to win. With the improvement of Tiger’s game and hope restored amongst golf’s experts, the fact still remained that Tiger had not won a major since 2008. Every major that has gone by, Tiger has been a favorite and every one has gone by without him winning it. As a matter of fact, I cannot even recall him seriously contending recently. Going into this year’s Masters, however, something seemed different with his game. The putter. The putting stroke, where nothing was missed under ten feet, was back. The 50-foot snake putts were showing up in his game again like a forest in the Amazon jungle. The fist pumps were back like a club at the Jersey Shore. Energy was there. Confidence was rising.

 

In this year’s Masters, Tiger hung around after the first round, and made his move after day two. Just when we thought Tiger was ready to re-break through for a major title, we found out that Tiger literally and figuratively dropped the ball toward the end of his second round. He committed a rules infraction when dropping his ball after hitting his shot into the water. After the media scrutiny and an additional two-stroke penalty, Tiger once again faded out of major contention. He said he played well, but actually playing well and winning are two different things. He still has three majors left this year, but it seems as if Tiger does not break through with a major victory in the next year or two, we might be justified in wondering if he will ever win another one.

 

Tiger will be the favorite going into next month’s U.S. Open and he should be. He is the world’s number one golfer. He has already won four tournaments this year including The Players Championship, which he has not won since 2001. We remember that year for him, right? He looks to have that Tiger swag back. The staredown during his putting routine. The fierce look in his eye as a ball is in flight toward the pin. The red shirt on Sunday seems brighter than ever. He even is openly dating Lindsey Vonn, professional skier. Not that he wasn’t before, but he is doing quite well right now for himself, on and off the course.
However, in this golf fan’s eyes, the above details mean nothing to me if Tiger is not winning majors. And if he does not win one soon, I fear he might not win one for a long time. He is 37 and in golf that still allows many opportunities to win, but the pressure will continue to mount when a golfer that talented does not win for a period of time. See Phil Mickelson. But once Phil won his first major at Augusta, he quickly won three more. For Tiger, I believe if he wins one this year, he will get that proverbial newfound monkey off his back, and begin the final quest to break Jack Nicklaus’ major record. Show us what you got Tiger. We all desperately want to see it.

 

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The Betting Corner: Thursday, April 18th, 2013

041713-MLB--Braves-Juan-Francisco-DG-PI_20130417151948783_660_3204-17-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – Philadelphia at Cincinatti

Season YTD: 20-17 +0.76 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 7-7

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 4-11

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 12-2

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 6-10

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 5-8

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Pretty self evident Lannan didn’t have his best stuff in this one.  The way the Phils offense has been playing this game seemed out of reach after he gave up 6 earned runs by the completion of the second inning.  Leake pitched well and had a few hits to go with it.  Nice card for tomorrow.

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1 Unit – NY Mets at Colorado (Over 9.5)

This games opened up at 9.5 in a few early posting sportsbooks.  I’m guessing by morning it will be 10 at least.  Get it at as low as possible (preferably under 11 if you can; if it gets to there I’d drop it to 1/2 a unit).  Weather should be tolerable but that hasn’t seemed to stop these teams the last couple days anyways.  Low chance of rain and the wind should be blowing out to center 15-20 MPH by game time.

Also, these pitchers haven’t fared well against one another in the past and have been par at best against sub par offenses.  Niese has given up 4, 1, and 2 earned runs.  Doesn’t seem like a lot but he was facing Minnesota, Miami, and San Diego.  Those three teams are ranked in the bottom half of the league in total runs scored (Miami is a solid 30/30).  His opponent in the Rockies is in second with 82 total runs scored.

Jon Garland has given up 5 earned runs against San Diego in 2 starts this year (12 innings pitched w/ a 3.75 ERA).  San Diego is ranked 19th in total runs scored this year.  His opponent in the Mets are only 1 run and 1 place behind Colorado (3rd at 81 total runs scored) for 2013.  I like the odds for this one to complete the sweep for overs in this one.

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1 Unit – St. Louis at Philadelphia (Under 7.5)

We learned last night that the Phillies have had nothing but issues scoring runs the past week.  Cole Hamels is veteran enough to know he’s going to need to be on his game to be in contention tomorrow.  Some would say this may pressure him a bit too much but he’s also pitching for himself today.  His first two games were very un-Hamels like and I expect him to continue the success from his third start.

Wainwright is no slouch either.  He doesn’t want to be the one the Phillies break out against.  He’s pitched well against the Phils in the past (2.20 ERA over 9 games).

It’s always hard to bet such a low under, but this one warrants it.

*Side note: This games hovering around a price of -120 as I’m writing this but I feel that will go down a bit by game time.  I’m wary to wait in the hopes it doesn’t drop to 7, but I think I’ve got the right read on this one.

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1.5 Unit – Atlanta at Pittsburgh (-125)

I think it’s a decent spot for a step out in this one.  The Pirates offense has benefitted from beating up on two horribly underperforming bullpens this year (Cincinnati ranked #23 in bullpen ERA and St Louis ranked #30/30 in team bullpen ERA) .  Guess who’s #1 in starter and reliever ERA.  I’ll give you a hint, it starts with an “A” and ends with “tlanta Braves”.

The Pirates host Atlanta who finally lost yesterday ending their 10 game win streak.  That means there’s only one thing for them to do; start another one.  This price is a little ridiculous.  If you recall, last week when we had the Nats in their opener of that series, it was at -130 (should’ve won that game but that’s what Atlanta brings to the table; the ability to come back against anyone).  Teheran was the starter in that game.  He gave up 4 quick runs (2 on a HR to the opposite field by Bryce Harper; and it wasn’t a bad pitch either) but pitched very well after that. The Nats also had a much better starter than Jeff Locke on the mound in Ross Detwiler.

Basically, what this line is telling me, is that the .500 Pirates and Locke are worth more than the Nationals who were preseason favorites to place ahead of the Braves and win around 95 games this year?  Nah.  Take the -125 without hesitation. Lastly Locke isn’t an overpowering pitche.  Many experts have spoken their opinion that K’s are one of the Braves only weaknesses this year.  that being said, Their one weakness shouldn’t be TOO much of an issue in this one.

 

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Jeremy Murray
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

Heat of the Moment

lebronwade

LeBron James has always been a love him or hate him figure in the NBA. You either love him and appreciate his greatness and dominance in the game, or you hate how he ditched his hometown team in Cleveland to join his friends/fellow superstars in Miami in pursuit of the easy route to a championship. The Miami Heat recently had their 27-game winning streak snapped and this streak was no different than the perception of James himself ─ either cheered on or rooted against despite the greatness. As polarizing as LeBron and Heat streak is and was, you cannot deny the excellence and that we may never see something like this again.

Too many times we as fans are “prisoners of the moment,” and make an event or an athlete bigger than it actually is because it is so fresh in our minds. For example, compared to Jack Nicklaus, Tiger Woods, especially during the turn of the century, stood as the best golfer ever because of his dominance, fire and determination to win. Most Tiger fans argued that he was already better than Nicklaus and that he will eventually win the most majors. However, we could not fully appreciate Jack’s greatness because it was a relatively distant memory and no one could have projected the struggles Tiger would endure in the past couple of years. In the case of the Miami Heat 27-game winning streak, there seems to be a reverse effect lingering here. We are under-appreciating what the Heat just accomplished.

What the Miami Heat did by winning 27 consecutive regular season games has only been achieved once, when the 1971-72 Los Angeles Lakers won 33 consecutive games. And in that era there were only eight main teams in the league. All the superstars were piled onto fewer teams instead of being so spread out. The game was less evolved. Who knows what the Heat may have done back then or in the future. The bottom line is it is very possible that the Heat streak might never be done again. If we were told this as a fact, what would we then think?  Most of us, especially those who rooted for them to lose, would feel pretty stupid. As humans, we naturally appreciate something more once it’s gone and never coming back.

With the parity that exists in the NBA today, the Heat’s streak is a mind-boggling accomplishment, however it was not fully embraced due to the polarizing effect that LeBron James has had among NBA fans. In this sense, we were not and are not enough of “prisoners” of this moment.

Let us examine 27 games in a row in the NBA compared to other feats. To accomplish this at the highest level of competition cannot be understated. Maybe compared to high school and college winning streaks, it’s not as potent. However, let’s not forget that the Patriots had their 18-game winning streak snapped when they lost to the Giants in the Super Bowl in pursuit of a perfect season. 27 games represents one-third of the NBA regular season. Let me repeat. One-third! There are currently seven NBA teams entering April 9  that do not have more than 27 wins for the entire season and the season is virtually over. Congratulations to the Timberwolves, Raptors and Wizards. You avoided this embarrassing category with 29 wins for the season.

For the Heat, once they won 20 games, every game had the hype that is typically reserved for the playoffs. SportsCenter previewed every game as if it was a Final Four game. When has Dwyane Wade sitting out a home game against the Bobcats been such a big deal? For a mediocre NBA season in terms of storylines and great quality teams, the Heat streak has been the highlight of the 2012-2013 NBA season. It generated more attention and draw from basketball fans and non-basketball fans. It kept the defending champions interested and gave them an incentive to care about the regular season.
The streak ended fittingly on the road against the Bulls as the wind was taken out of the sails of the Heat. Many people were sad and upset because they wanted to witness history. Many people were happy because LeBron failed and did not get to notch another accomplishment under his belt. It would have been interesting to see the attention of a streak like this done by another NBA team. Maybe the Lakers or Thunder or even the Knicks would have received similar attention, but that’s it. The fact of the matter is that this streak was not glorified as much as it should have been because it involved LeBron James and the defending champion Heat. In a vacuum, however, this streak needs to be worshipped and praised for how amazing a feat it was. This streak may never be accomplished ever again in the NBA, maybe in any sport as well. The Heat streak may be over, but its legacy could last forever.

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The Betting Corner: Friday, April 12th, 2013

143344089_crop_exact4-11-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – Oakland at LA Angels (Under 8.5) (-115)

Season YTD: 14-9 +4.16 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 3-6

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 3-6

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 8-1

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 4-7

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 3-5

First tough loss of the year IMO.  Top of the 9th inning error costs us the under by 1/2 a run.  On the flip side, had it not happened, we would’ve only WON by half a run as well.  In games like that, you have to realize over a 162 game season, it’s going to happen plenty of times.  To be a successful gambler, you have be able to roll with the punches.

Friday we’ve got our first big card of the year to start off the weekend.  A handful of aces go for the third time this season.  You’ll notice the more information and starts that are in the books, the more we’ll test our luck with moneylines and runlines.

A total of 6 games Friday, and sorry but I don’t have time to re-look up all the stats for my writeups.  Just know at the time of writing this paragraph, it’s 11:46 PST and I started doing research at 10:00.

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1 Unit – Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-101)**Bet this Friday, may get a better line

1 Unit – Atlanta at Washington (-129)** Bet this Friday, may get a better line

1 Unit – Chi White Sox at Cleveland (-135)

1 Unit – NY Mets at Minnesota (-102)** Bet this Friday, may get a better line

1 Unit – LA Dodgers at Arizona Under 8 (-110)

1 Unit – Houston at LA Angels (-1.5) (+115)** Bet this Friday, may get better line

Pitt’s struggled all year.  Just because they have Burnett on the mound doesn’t mean they should be favored against the best in the NL Central.  Also, Leake has faired well against the Pirates in the past.

Atlanta comes into this game 8-1.  Washington is going to want to defend their home turf against the NL East rivals.  Expect this series to be a battle all year.  In this game though, the pitching matchup is by far in favor of Washington.  Anything under -140 seems like a good price for this one.

Cleveland’s had the luxury of having 2 days off.  A hot Justin Masterson takes the mound and at -135 at home, I expect the Indians to get back on track.  Quintana should be welcome sight after facing a few Yankee veterans.

The Twins have come back down to earth, but you could make the argument that so have the Mets.  At even odds, I think the combination of Niese and the NY lineup should be able to best Worley and the slumping Twin bats, even on the road.

Clayton Kershaw has yet to give up an earned run so far this year.  No reason this total should be 8, especially when his opponent in Patrick Corbin has had success against the Dodgers in the past.  Still without proof that Kershaw can get lit up this year, anything above 7 is a bet for sure in this one.

Lastly, Houston has had their moment.  Too bad for us it had to happen against Seattle.  Frankly, 2 may be their longest winning streak of the season.  This is a perfect situation for LA.  They’ve struggled, so they have no reason coming into this game to overlook the Astros.  Hanson is 4-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his career against Houston.  Bud Norris, to say the least, struggled mightily on the road last year.  the only reason this isn’t a 1.5 unit play is because the Angels bullpen hasn’t proven they can get anyone out yet this year.  Play it for 1.

____________________________________________________________________________
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Jeremy Murray
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

The Betting Corner: Wednesday, April 10th, 2013

AP687811127091oo_np6s8num_1p4uceqs4-9-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – NY Mets at Philadelphia (-1.5) (+125)

LOSS: 1 Unit: LA Dodgers at San Diego (-140)

Season YTD: 12-7 +4.31 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 2-5 **Currently 6-5 in top 8

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 2-6

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 7-1

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 4-5

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 3-5

Same situation as St. Louis the other day.  Except the Cardinals bullpen had already blown open games this year; the Dodgers bullpen had given up 0 earned runs and held hitters to 1 for 36 hitting.  Talk about a reversion to the mean at the wrong time as they blow any chance we had at winning this game.  In Philadelphia, Lee comes one out away from a complete game giving up only 2 ER as the Phils win easily.  Let’s see if we can get back in the black and get a winning day tomorrow.  No time to do any write ups today; but here’s our 3 plays.

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1 Unit – Colorado at San Francisco (-135)

1 Unit – Pittsburgh at Arizona Under 9 (+105)

**Wait to bet this Pitt/Zona game tomorrow as I think the line may rise to 9.5

1 Unit – Tampa Bay at Texas Under 9 (+100)

 

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Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

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Jeremy Murray
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

The Betting Corner: Tuesday, April 9th, 2013

alg-cliff-lee-pitches-jpg4-8-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – NY Mets at Philadelphia (-112)

LOSS: 1 Unit: Cincinnati at St. Louis (-110)

Season YTD: 11-6 +4.36 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 2-5

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 1-6

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 6-1

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 4-4

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 3-4

Been slipping back to reality the last couple days after our hot start to begin the season.  Tough 0-2 day having to watch the bullpen implode in St. Louis after taking a lead into the 8th inning.  With Philly, I was optimistic after watching Halladay’s first inning of work, but it was all downhill from there.  Halladay’s gonna have to do some serious soul searching because it’s not just these first two starts; he struggled all last year as well.  It will be interesting to see his next couple starts and whether he’s able to make the necessary adjustment to get back to his old dominant self.

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1 Unit – NY Mets at Philadelphia (-1.5) (+125)

Not a big write up for this one.  The Phillies have never, and I repeat, NEVER, lost 3 straight games started by the trio of Cole Hamels, Roy Halladay, and Cliff Lee.  Cliff Lee pitched an 8 inning 2 hit shutout against Atlanta last week; expect more of the same this week.  Philly knows they’ve come out of the gate slow this year, and it’s obvious Hamels and Halladay have struggled mightily.  Cliff Lee is exactly who I’d want on the mound in this situation.  I feel bad for Dillon Gee (who has a 6.46 ERA in his career against Philly) in this situation, because he can pitch great like Medlen did last week against Lee and still come out with the loss.

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1 Unit: LA Dodgers at San Diego (-140)

Still not sold on San Diego.  In their home opener, runs are going to be even harder to come by now that they’re out of the mountains and beachside in sunny San Diego.  Even though Clayton Richard has faired decent against LA in the past, he didn’t look good against New York in his first outing.  Becket on the other hand threw decent against the defending World Champs.  He’s also 5-2 in 7 career starts with a 2.09 ERA against SD.  I’ll lay the chalk in this one and take the favorite.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
Sports Activist for The Cover 4
http://www.facebook.com/thecover4
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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