Our Final Installment: Week 17 NFL Predictions

Like it or not, all eyes are on Tony Romo this week.

Like it or not, all eyes are on Tony Romo this week.

Can you believe it? We are already in week 17 of the NFL season and the new year is right around the corner. The smell of playoff football is in the air; who will be peaking at the right time to make it to the Super Bowl?

I will commend the NFL on doing the scheduling changes a few years ago, I love watching meaningful games in the last week of the season. Dallas v Washington for the division?! Two years in a row Cowboy fans. Is this year going to be different?

For fantasy reasons, I love watching players play meaningful games in week 15, 16 & 17 because it allows me to win my fantasy football league. Won 1 of 4 – not bad. Pay me Long Island Sound!

From the Cover 4 to our readers, thank you for following along this season; it has had its ups and downs and plenty of changes to meet the demands of our fans but we have enjoyed every minute of it.


We hope that you continue to read our website and follow along for some of the best, and most interesting, sports articles out there right now. We aren’t your typical mainstream sports website ; we are for the fans, by the fans. Period!


New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (-3) 

Jesse – NYJ –  Both teams are terrible, so I’ll take the points.

Long Island Sound – NYJ – Sanchez will provide a good performance versus a below average defense to prove his worth.

Plumb – NYJ – With McElroy out and Sanchez back, this may be Sanchez’s last time to prove he can play in the big leagues.

James – NYJ – Mark Sanchez is going to play the best game of his life…… maybe?


Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-10)

Jesse – MIA – I expect Miami to play New England tough and cover the 10 points.

Long Island Sound – NE – Hate big lines, but Miami going to NE never works out well for them.

Plumb – MIA – Well last time around New England overlooked Miami and division games are always tough to win, let alone cover. Dolphins make one last push to cap off a decent season.

James – NE – I like Coach Billy in this matchup; coach always wants to send a message.


Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals (-2½)

Jesse – BAL – Baltimore destroyed the Bengals back in their Week 1 meeting, and they should be playing for playoff momentum after their drudging of the Giants last week. Baltimore’s the better team & getting points.

Long Island Sound – CIN –  Baltimore is a pretender that faced a Giants team that has been rolling over for the last 2 weeks.

Plumb – CIN – After coming off impressive wins and clinching playoff berths, Cincy is the only team in this matchup that has something to play for.

James – BAL – Maybe its my perception, and familiarity, with the AFC North but I know that when it matters Baltimore will beat the Bungals. I like AJ Green a lot but I think the Ravens cover in this one.


Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers (No Line)

Jesse – PIT – Pittsburgh is out of the playoff hunt, but I don’t expect Tomlin’s team to quit. They should cover whatever number the casinos put up with Cleveland starting Thaddeus Lewis (who?) at QB & Montario Hardesty at RB.

Long Island Sound – PIT – Cleveland’s 3rd string QB versus a disgruntled Mike Tomlin.

Plumb – PIT – Tomlin will have the team ready for this week after last week disappointing loss. Expect Steelers blowout.

James – PIT – Steelers rarely lose to the Browns; it won’t happen twice in one year….


Houston Texans (-7) @ Indianapolis Colts

Jesse – HOU – Houston NEEDS this win to lock up #1 in the AFC while Indy is locked into the 5th-seed no matter what. On top of that, Houston was flat-out embarrassed by the Vikings at home last week. If they want to prove to the nation that they’re a true contender, it starts this Sunday.

Long Island Sound – IND – Andrew Luck at home.

Plumb – IND – Both are jocking for seeding but Indy is tough at home and getting points makes it even more enticing. The Colts have Luck on their side.

James – HOU – I like Indy but I think Houston takes care of business this week and gets things rolling into the playoffs. If Houston doesn’t cover, it will be because the Colts get a garbage td or two.


Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans (-4½)

Jesse – JAC – Jacksonville showed life last week vs. Patriots, while Tennessee wet the bed at Green Bay. I refuse to lay more than 4 points with this Tennessee squad after last week’s performance.

Long Island Sound – JAC – Henne has this team playing hard.

Plumb – JAC – Well the worst game on the schedule this week and someone’s gotta win. I’ll take the points just because Henne is showing he can still play and will be fighting for a job next season.

James – JAC – Toilet Bowl of Week 17.


Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants (-7½)

Jesse – PHI – One of Philly’s 4 wins this season was against these NY Giants and came with Vick at the helm & McCoy in the backfield. Well, they’re back & there’s no reason they can’t keep this game close and cover the TD+ or even perhaps win.

Long Island Sound – PHI – Giants at home against a divisional opponent. Vick gives the Giants trouble.

Plumb – PHI – After Philly lost Nick Foles last week to injury, Vick is back which means two things: unpredictability and dog fighting (j/k PETA). Tough division matchup and the ½ is always a favorites kryptonite. This is a dog’s game (Corny Mike Vick humor). Eagles cover and Vick proves he is still a starter in the League.

James – PHI – This game scares me because the Giants are so unpredictable. I think Vick comes out and takes care of business in his last game in Phili.


Chicago Bears (-3) @ Detroit Lions

Jesse – CHI – Chicago needs this win +MINN loss to make the playoffs as the 6th-seed, so they’ll be ready for this contest. Pro-bowl CB Tim Jennings (shoulder) should be back & RB Forte (ankle) is optimistic about playing while Detroit is reeling having lost 7-straight.

Long Island Sound – CHI – Cutler and Marshall are in a groove that will not be stopped by the Lions D.

Plumb – CHI – Tough defense, must win game, and Brandon Marshall. Too many factors against the home team in this one.

James – CHI – MUST WIN. Time to put up or shut up Chicago.


Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Minnesota Vikings

Jesse – GB – Green Bay is ready for their playoff run & earning a 1st round bye would bode well for them. Since starting the season 2-3, Packers have only lost 1 game. They’ll get Minnesota’s best efforts, but they won’t be enough. Green Bay will represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.

Long Island Sound – GB – Finally healthy and Rodgers is back to his unreal form.

Plumb – GB – A very important game for both teams in this matchup. Minnesota fighting for the last playoff berth alongside AP attempting to break the single season rushing record, and Green Bay attempting to clinch a first round bye with a W. Expect this to be a hard nose and close game. Deciding factor: Aaron Rodgers dominant play in domes.

James – GB – I really hope AP can break this record but my PRESEASON Super Bowl pick is looking pretty good right now. I think Rodgers gives the Viking defense his discount double check.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (No Line)

Jesse – TB – There’s no line on this game because Atlanta might rest their starters. They’ve locked up home-field in the NFC and have no reason to play for anything. I’ll take Tampa, especially if they’re getting points.

Long Island Sound – ATL – Ryan and the Falcons at home. Don’t believe they will sit starts much based on previous playoff woes.

Plumb – ATL – Atlanta is tough at home as they are undefeated in the Georgia Dome.

James – ATL – I don’t care if Chris Chandler is going to be playing quarterback this week, I can’t take the shaky and free-falling Buccs. ATL will play its players for the majority of this one as they aren’t going to rest for two weeks.


Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (-5)

Jesse – CAR (ML +205) – I personally think these two teams are relatively even. Carolina’s actually been playing better of late –winners of 3-straight — so I’m getting value with the Panthers, as the spread should be NO -3. Carolina will win this game outright saving Ron Rivera’s job.

Long Island Sound – NO – Should be a shoot-out, but Brees should cover here.

Plumb – CAR – Panthers defense > Saints defense. Plus Carolina has won 3 straight.

James – CAR – Carolina may not get the W but they cover in this one.


Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (-16)

Jesse – KC – I cannot get myself to lay 16 points, even if it’s with the perceived “best team in the NFL.”

Long Island Sound – KC – Too big of a spread.

Plumb – KC – Wow this spread is high. I expect Peyton and Co. to play till halftime and call it a day. If this happens, expect KC to capitalize.

James – KC – I know the Chiefs are bad, and I mean bad. I realize the Broncos are really good. I just don’t wanna put 16 on this game. I’ll stay conservative and take KC.


Oakland Raiders @ San Diego Chargers (No Line)

Jesse – SD – Oakland has quit. Before beating KC two weeks ago, Oakland was losers of 6-straight. They didn’t score a single TD in their 15-0 win over KC in that aforementioned meeting & failed to score a TD last week vs. Panthers. To add insult to injury, Terrelle Pryor will be starting for the injured Palmer (ribs).

Long Island Sound – SD – Just a bad game with a bad team and a very undisciplined team. I’ll take the potential versus the bad.

Plumb – SD – Are you putting your hard earned money on the Oakland Raiders? Yeah, neither am I because I can’t trust them.

James – SD – Norv Turner and AJ Smith get a W in their last game with the organization; Turner has already said he is okay with being an OC again after this year. Smell Yah.


Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers (-16½)

Jesse – SF – Ok, I lied; I will lay -16 in certain situations. Maybe this is me betting with my heart; maybe not. This season following a loss or tie, the 49ers have beaten their opponents by a combined score of 106-26.

Long Island Sound – ARI – Not taking that line in the NFL out of principle.

Plumb – ARI – This is probably the hardest game to pick this week. On one hand you have the Niners who must win to clinch the division as well as a potential second seed in the conference. My only question is how hard are they going to play the Cards without risking injury? Then you have the Cards who may or may not show up at home let alone score a point. The gut wants the Niners but the numbers say Cards.

James – ARI – 16+? What? Luckily its week 17 and this will be the first, and last, time I think the Cardinals will do something good.


St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (-10½)

Jesse – SEA – If Seattle wins this game and 49ers somehow slip up and lose vs. Cardinals, then Seattle wins the NFC West and the #3 seed in the NFC. They have everything to play for, and are playing extremely well especially down in the trenches.

Long Island Sound – STL – This team finds ways to cover.

Plumb – SEA – I made this mistake last week and it burned me. SEAHAWKS AT HOME = WIN.

James – SEA – I don’t think I can go any other way with the way this team has been playing.


Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins (-3)

Jesse – WAS – Stop me when you’ve heard this before: Dallas in a must-win? I’ll take the other side.

Long Island Sound – WAS – Washington looking to capture a division title will be ready to play.

Plumb – WAS – Dallas Cowboys! Big Games! Tony Romo fumbling meaningful snaps! Means one thing: Choke artists. Skins win and take the Division.

James – WAS – Maybe this is the year the Cowboys finally win a meaningful game at the end of the season? Naw, I’m going RGIII.

Christmas Money: NFL Week 16 Picks

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks play one of the biggest games of the year against the 49ers.

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks play one of the biggest games of the year against the 49ers.

It’s the Friday before Christmas and The Cover 4 is giving away free gifts. Yup, we are giving you the weekly dosage of NFL picks. While some of us have been in the money, others (cough Long Island Sound cough cough) lost his whole trust fund after a disastrous week 15. Thats why I love football because anyone can win any week; I think I say that all the time.

I am sad that the NFL regular season will be over and we won’t be bringing you all of the NFL picks and predictions BUT we will be coming out with a number of awesome articles. We want to be different and we are going to show you why The Cover 4 is different!

This weeks Cover 4: PIT, KC, WASH, NYG 


Atlanta Falcons (-3½) @ Detroit Lions

General Peppers – DET +3½ – With the NFC South locked up, and the 49ers two games back, I see no reason for Atlanta to go all in like they did against the Giants.

Jesse– DET (ML)  – I’ll take the home-dog on Saturday night. Detroit coming off an embarrassing loss (right, Kake?) will bounce back in a big way vs. #1 seed in the NFC. Detroit wins outright.

Long Island Sound – ATL -3½ – DET makng too many mistakes and ATL looking to finalize at home.

Plumb – ATL -3½ – Atlanta proven they’re a top tier team this year, why not show it in a blow out over Det.

James – ATL –3½ – I bet against ATL last week and for DET. Both moves making me look ridiculous thus I am taking ATL. 


Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (- 3½) 

General Peppers – PIT -3½ – Simple: both teams have to win this game. Pittsburgh is a better team.

Jesse – PIT -3½ – This was a tough game to handicap. I just don’t see Cincy getting over the hump, and Pittsburgh wins their 6th straight meeting.

Long Island Sound – PIT -3½ – Now or never for the Steelers.

Plumb – PIT +3½ – Love PIT especially when they have their backs against the wall. Cincy will be tough but Steelers have won 72% of the time against the Bengals and control their destiny at home. Numbers say Bengals but can’t go against the home team with everything on the line. Caution Big Ben at work.

James – PIT -3½ – The ½ point scares me as this game may be a three point game but I really think the Steelers take care of business here.


New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys (-3)

General Peppers – DAL -3 – Dallas is making the playoffs and winning the NFC East. Their playoff run starts here.

Jesse – NO +3 – Dallas finally has momentum heading into a must win game. If you can trust this team, good luck.

Long Island Sound – DAL -3 – Porous D veruss offense with all the potential.

Plumb – NO +3 – My trap game of the week. Saints play spoiler in this one.

James – DAL -3 – I usually bet against the Dallas in any big game but the Saints have struggled plenty this year. Dallas getting hot at the right now.


Tennessee Titans @ Green Bay Packers (-12½) 

General Peppers – GB -12½ – Green Bay getting healthy at the right time. Hello Jennings/Matthews/Nelson.

Jesse – TEN +12½ – Green Bay, after battling hated division rival Chicago last week, must get ready for a bad Titans team who needed 5 turnovers to beat the spiraling Jets. Following this week’s game, Packers must game plan to try to stop AP and his record breaking mentality in Minnesota. What does all this mean? Your classic sandwich game.

Long Island Sound – TEN +12½ – NFL and that many points? CJ will be able to work veruss the Packer D.

Plumb – TEN +12½ – I honestly hate NFL spreads over 10 pts. However, GB gets Matthews back which is a huge defensive boost, but they don’t have anything to play for so Titans in this one.

James – TEN +12½ – The Packers have all the weapons and will probably win but they have clinched the division. Expect Tennessee to cover.


Indianapolis Colts (-7) @ Kansas City Chiefs

General Peppers – KC +7 – Indianapolis is a mediocre road team.

Jesse – KC +7 – Andrew Luck has 18 INTs on the year, 13 of which came on the road. I expect both teams to make mistakes and the Chiefs to cover the TD.

Long Island Sound – KC +7 – Andrew Luck away.

Plumb – KC +7 – Andrew luck has really proven his worth this year but 7 is a lot of points to lay on the road. Numbers say this is a 5 point game. KC pulls the backdoor cover in this one.

James – KC +7 – Shall I even echo what everyone else is saying? Luck has to prove he can play well on the road; tough environment in Arrowhead.


Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins (-4½) 

General Peppers – BUF +4½ – Miami is in a free fall and looking more for a higher draft pick. Buffalo better than you think.

Jesse – MIA -4½ – Miami, who beat Seattle at home 4 weeks ago, will contain C.J. Spiller and cover the spread.

Long Island Sound – MIA -4½ – Buffalo D is horrible. 

Plumb – MIA -4½ – Miami is in win or go home mode. They have a slim chance to make the playoffs but there is a chance which can make them dangerous, and what a better team to push around than the volatile Bills. Tannehill gets it done in this one and fins too tough at home.

James – BUF (ML) – How many times will I get Miami wrong. At this point, I’m going Buff ML on the road. Dumb? Maybe but I am taking a risk.


San Diego Chargers @ New York Jets (-2½) 

General Peppers – SD +2½ – Greg McIlory. That is all.

Jesse – SD +2½ – Well the Jets benched Mark Sanchez; that should solve all their problems. I don’t have a strong lean but this Jets team is bad and favored.

Long Island Sound – SD +2½ – Charger seem to go against conventional wisdom with traveling across the country.

Plumb – SD +2½ – Man do I hate the Jets this season. One week they look good, the next Sanchez throws 4 INTs. McElroy get the start which means Christmas comes early for the Chargers. My Game of the week.

James – SD +2½ – Too many unknowns for the Jets and their qb situation for me to take them this week.


Washington Redskins (-6½) @ Philadelphia Eagles

General Peppers – WAS -6½ – Philly has no need to win. Washington must win.

Jesse – WAS -6½ – RGIII fully participated in practice and is expected to start & I’m not betting against him.

Long Island Sound – WAS -6½ – The Eagles gained steam 2 weeks ago in TV, but lost it all last week.

Plumb – PHI +6½ – Nick Foles is proving to me that he can play QB in the NFL on a team that has given up. I might be the only one who hasn’t given up on the Eagles this season. Skins win with RGIII back but I think Philly can cover.

James – WAS -6½ – Like I said last week, RGIII is the key to the Redskins playoff hopes. They take care of business.


St. Louis Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3)

General Peppers – TB -3 – Tampa Bay elite run defense shuts down Steven Jackson leaving the Rams offense stagnant.

Jesse – STL +3 – I wouldn’t bet this game with your money, but if I had to pick a side, I’ll take the points. Tampa Bay has lost 4 straight and is now a home favorite.

Long Island Sound – STL (ML) – Rams will keep this close.

Plumb – STL +3 – Tampa is allowing 300+ passing yards a game this year and with Bradford coming off a career game last week, I don’t expect anything less from him in this one. St. Louis has something to play for in this game while the Bucs do not. Rams get back on track and getting points only sweetens the pot.

James –  TB -3 – The Buccs need to rebound and this week they will get it done at home.


Oakland Raiders @ Carolina Panthers (-8½) 

General Peppers – OAK +8½ – Bad teams with spreads over 7 = bad idea. Garbage time TDs will cover for Oakland.

Jesse – CAR -8½ – I know laying more than a TD with a 5-win team seems ludicrous, but I don’t trust Oakland traveling across country to play an early game.

Long Island Sound – OAK +8½ – Carolina doesn’t put teams away.

Plumb – OAK +8½ – Carolina has been hot as of late looking for their 3rd straight win. Oakland has been a rollercoaster of a team this year but with McFadden healthy and coming off a decent week, I see him keeping it close against Carolina. Also from my point of view, spreads over 7 for teams with mediocre offenses always favors the dog.

James – OAK +8½ – Im with Bru on this one. I think garbage time allows this team to cover the spread.

New England Patriots (-14½)  @ Jacksonville Jaguars

General Peppers – JAX +14½ – I refuse to take a spread this big.

Jesse – NE -14½ – Man, I feel sorry for Jacksonville this week.

Long Island Sound – JAX +14½ – Too many points.

Plumb – JAX +14½ – As hard as it is for me to write this analysis, 14 points is a lot for a road team to give even if they are the #1 offense in the NFL. This spread scares me but I think NE overlooks JAX as they did MIA a few weeks ago.

James – NE -14½ – A lot of points here but NE knows how to step on the gas.

Minnesota Vikings @ Houston Texans (-7½) 

General Peppers – MIN +7½ – Purple Jesus is determined to run for 150 on everyone. Keeps this game close single-handedly.

Jesse– MIN +7½ – I made the mistake of betting against AP last week.

Long Island Sound – MIN +7½ – Ponder wil be key with attention focused on AP.

Plumb – MIN +7½ – AP has been lights out and goes against a tough Houston front 4. However, if Vick Ballard can do it, AP should have a field day in this one.

James – HOU -7½ – I have been on the AP train more than anyone lately but I am taking Houston this week.


Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos (-13)

General Peppers – CLE +13 – Cleveland better than you think. Denver not as good as you think.

Jesse – DEN -13 – Denver is just much more well-rounded & still playing for a first round bye.

Long Island Sound – CLE +13 – Sneaky decent team.

Plumb – CLE +13 – Being from Pittsburgh, this hurts me to say, Browns actually look good. After that being said, I still hate the Browns but their defense keeps this game close. Denver giving too much in this one.

James – CLE +13 – The Browns won’t quit in this one.


Chicago Bears (-5½) @ Arizona Cardinals

General Peppers – ARI +5½ – Bears keep free-falling. Battered offensive line gets pressured by blitzing Cardinal defense.

Jesse – CHI -5½ – Bears will create turnovers and take advantage of Cardinals, who finally won a game last week (right, Kake?).

Long Island Sound – CHI -5½ – Bears force turnovers and the Cardinals turn the ball over.

Plumb – CHI -5½ – Chicago offense has been abysmal and facing a decent Arizona defense (minus the Seattle game). Arizona might be able to slow down the Bears, however I feel Chicago needs this game and will look to run it up.

James – CHI -5½ – Last week AZ made me look dumb. Two weeks in a row? Not happening.


New York Giants (-2½) @ Baltimore Ravens

General Peppers – NYG -2½ – Ravens too banged up. Joe Flacco too average and Giants still elite team.

Jesse – NYG -2½ – In this virtual pick’em game, it came down to one thing for me: Which team do I trust more? I also fully expect this game to be a shootout, so I’ll sprinkle a little cheese on OVER 47½.

Long Island Sound – NYG -2½ – Must win for the Giants.

Plumb – BAL +2½ – This is an even match-up here. Baltimore needs to show some life going into the playoffs, and I feel this is the game that will get them back on track.

James – NYG -2½ – Ravens in free fall and the inconsistent Giants know how and when to turn it on. Winners this week.


San Francisco 49ers (-1) @ Seattle Seahawks

General Peppers – SEA +1 – Seattle is unbeatable at home. Russell Wilson is Rookie of the Year.

Jesse – SF -1 – The last team to go up to Seattle and come away with a victory? Yeah, shoulda been the Packers, but it wasn’t. You guessed it, the Niners.

Long Island Sound – SEA +1 – Seahawks at home.

Plumb – SF -1 – Seattle is lights out at home this season but Harbaugh has unfinished business with Pete Carroll stemming back from the Stanford days. SF will look to run it up.

James – SEA +1 – Best home team in the league.

Thanks for checking out our picks. Dont forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.
James Kaikis
Chief Sports Activist for The Cover 4

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