The Betting Corner: NBA Playoffs Jun 3, 2013

Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat 8.30PM (ET) TNT

(Series Tied 3-3)

7397300After many highs and lows the readers and I have experienced in this series, tonight‘s game is for all the marbles. The key for the Heat tonight is getting production from someone other than Lebron. If they get this, the Pacers will have trouble keeping this close. For the Pacers, as its been the whole series, keep the defensive pressure up and play consistent and confidently. If they do this they will take the throne of the new top dog of the East. From a Vegas standpoint, I believe this game will be  closer than 7 and until the Heat can show me there big 3 is truly still a “big 3” all-star lineup, I can’t give the points.

Play:
Pacers +7
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The Betting Corner: NBA Playoffs Jun 1, 2013

Miami Heat @Indiana Pacers 8.30PM (ET) TNT

(Miami lead Series 3-2)

980857_10151550982518463_548927911_oAfter a back and forth first half in game 5, the Heat made one of the best half time adjustments defensively I’ve seen this postseason. With that, the Heat held the Pacers to 35 points and taking the 3-2 series lead. Now that the series has shifted back to Indiana, the Heat have to find a way to close out the Pacers at home, where they have struggled most of this series. However, this isn’t any ordinary game for the Heat. This is a ticket to the NBA finals on the line. In close out games (both home and away) the Heat are a perfect 6-0 when leading the series. If the Pacers want to take this series to a game 7, they need to limit turnovers and figure out Lebron’s “Robin” early in this game otherwise we could see this get out of hand early. For the Heat, if they can continue to irritate Hibbert with the double team as well as limit Indiana to one shot per possession, they will force the rest of the Pacer team to play a perfect game to beat them. Chris Anderson has been ruled out due to a suspension and the Pacers need to take advantage pounding the ball into the low post playing from inside out. Ultimately this game is going to come down to which team hungrier. With stat above and a low spread, I like the Heat on the road to win the Eastern Conference once again.

(Chris “The Birdman” Anderson Is OUT due to a suspension)

Play:
Heat -2.5
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

The Betting Corner: NBA Playoffs May 30, 2013

Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat 8.30PM (ET) TNT

(Series Tied 2-2)

30james-articleLargeAfter such a back and forth series, game 5 is will determine which team wants it more. Headed back to Miami, the Heat look to regain control on there home floor after some questionable calls in game 4 which, in my opinion, decided the outcome. The last four games have come down to who dominates in the low post on both sides of the ball. For the Heat to take game 5, they need to step up the defensive pressure, get more scoring production from the big 3 and “Rebound, Rebound, Rebound”. For the Pacers to take one on the road, they need to continue to be aggressive on the boards as they were in game 3 and keep Lebron and co from gaining momentum in this game. Although I expect the Heat to win this one, I’ve realized in this series the high spread favors dog.

Play:
Pacers +7.5

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

The Betting Corner: NBA Playoffs May 28, 2013

Miami Heat @Indiana Pacers 8.30PM (ET) TNT

(Miami lead Series 2-1)

27east-1-articleLargeAfter scoring a franchise record 70 points in the first half, the Heat look to take over this series on the road. If Miami can continue to get production from role players as I stated in the last article on this series, there is no stopping them. The role players outshot the Pacers 28-16, which was the X factor in game 3. Not only was the bench dominate, but “Birdman” or Chris Anderson is a remarkable 15-15 shooting this series.The Pacers, on the other hand, look to protect home court where they have been solid winning 86% of the time this playoff stretch. If Indiana can slow down Miami’s new found post game then they have a solid chance to even the series tonight. Hibbert and West will need there guards to spread the floor for there play to prosper tonight. Ultimately whichever team can control the pace and turnover battle will take this one. However since the spread is low which makes me think Vegas wants Pacer action, Heat is the play.

Play:
Miami -3
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All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

The Betting Corner: NBA Playoffs May 26, 2013

Miami Heat @Indiana Pacers 8.30PM (ET) TNT

(Series Tied 1-1)

George-Hill-and-Lance-Stephenson-have-to-step-up-in-Game-2.-Nathaniel-S.-Butler-NBA-Getty-ImagesAfter two intense games in Miami, the defending champs take to the road to Indiana, where the Pacers have been undefeated this postseason. If the heat want to take control back, their role players must get out of there shooting funks (Chalmers, Allen, and Battier). If they do get this production, the Heat will not only win, but cover.

Indiana on the other had, has manhandled the Heat on defense and has answered call when needed. If they can pull away in game 3, this series should be a dog fight from here on out. Ultimately, today’s game will come down to, as it has every game this series, turnovers. I feel after a close call at home in game 1 and a bad last minute in game 2, the Heat should be amped up for tonight’s game and steal one back on the road.

Play:
Heat -2

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

The Betting Corner: NBA Playoffs May 24, 2013

Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat 8.30PM (ET) TNT

(Heat Lead Series 1-0)

9d65c1d1d6004297a2048250088dc129-08da78f6fe074580985fab989d3e1053-3After a tight OT thriller in game 1, I see game 2 to have the real offensive flow to it. Although both teams defenses were solid in game 1, Spolestra always seems to know how to make great game 2 adjustments as he did last series against the bulls.  The pacers key to winning tonight is controlling the boards and not letting the game get out of hand to early with the home crowd. At the end of the day, the heat offense is to much for the pacers in this one and a potential lights out performance from a d wade.

Play:
Heat -7.5

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Round 3-NBA Playoffs-Eastern Conference Finals

Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers

Presentation1

  • Game 1-May 22 Indiana @ Miami 8:30 p.m. (EST) TNT
  • Game 2-May 24 Indiana @ Miami 8:30 p.m. (EST) TNT
  • Game 3-May 26 Miami @ Indiana 8:30 p.m. (EST) TNT
  • Game 4-May 28 Miami @ Indiana 8:30 p.m. (EST) TNT
  • Game 5-May 30 Indiana @ Miami 8:30 p.m. (EST) TNT
  • Game 6-Jun 1 Miami @ Indiana 8:30 p.m. (EST) TNT
  • Game 7-June 3 Indiana @ Miami 8:30 p.m. (EST) TNT

 

2013 Regular Season Match-up

  • January 8 Miami @ Indiana87-77
  • January 11 Miami @ Indiana102-89
  • March 10 Indiana @ Miami 105-91

Miami Heat Locker Room

In the Eastern Conference finals for a second consecutive year, the Miami Heat are poised for a repeat for the Larry O’Brien trophy. After sweeping the Bucks  and beating the Bulls in five games, they now face their greatest challenge standing between them and a trip to the finals.  Chicago put some scare into the Heat in a couple games while playing without its all star Derrick Rose and Loul Deng. Chicago at times exploited the Heat’s weaknesses and figured out the blueprint to beating the Heat. Keys to beating the Heat are rebounding and points in the paint, at least that’s what Chicago  left us with in game one.The Pacers rank first in the league in rebounding. Yes, defense wins championships, and coaches often say “we have to take away their 3-point shooting”  or ” we have to limit turnovers” to beat the Pacers, the Heat will have to limit their turnovers and open up the 3-point shooting game for Ray Allen and company.

Indiana Pacers’ Locker Room 

The Pacers have George Hill back and hopefully he will stay healthy. Home court advantage has been important for the Pacers as they are 6-0 in the playoffs when playing at home, and are doing so with an average margin of victory of more than 10 points per game. Rebounding and points in the paint have been Indiana’s bread and butter all season long. Solid guard play from Hill, Lance Stephenson and D.J. Augustin has been tremendous in the playoffs combined with the front court trio of Paul George, Roy Hibbert and David West. They have played every style of basketball this playoffs — high flying or low-scoring ground and pound — and that is one of the ingredients to play against the Heat, being able to play with different flows of the game. No question that the Pacers will put up a fight and take the Heat over the edge and frustrate them, if they want to win.

Final Predictions

I have the Grizzlies winning and the West and I really like the Pacers to win the East, but that’s not going to happen. The Heat simply just have too much talent, experience and star power. It’s going to be an exciting series, but King James will lead the Heat to their second consecutive  finals appearance.

Miami Heat wins in 7

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The Betting Corner: NBA Playoffs May 22, 2013

Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat 8.30PM (ET) TNT

nba_g_james_b1_576The day after Lebron’s hometown team the Cleveland Cavaliers, won the NBA draft lottery, Lebron’s current team, the Heat, look to take on the Pacers in a repeat showdown of last years eastern conference semifinals. Both of these teams look different from last years series. The Pacers seem to have a more mature team this go around led by Hibbert on defense and Hill, George, and West on the offense. The have put together some outstanding performances this season but the Heat are a team where they can make your best defensive performances look silly. If the pacers want to have a chance in this one, it’s to slow down the league MVP on both ends of the court. Tonight battle will be who can control the boards and win the turnover battle. Since the Heat are home and the home team is 4-1 ATS this season, heat is the play tonight.

Play:
Miami -8
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Who do you want to see in the NBA finals?

16 teams started the quest for the Larry O’Brien trophy…

534062_10151393358267686_553950867_n

And there were 4 left standing,

Presentation1

Who will be crowned the 2013 NBA Champions?

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Fantasy Basketball: NBA First Half Review

harden
As we pass the trade deadline, we find ourselves at a very interesting point in the 2012-2013 NBA fantasy season. Now that we’re a bit past the halfway mark of this season, let’s take this moment to review the biggest surprises and major disappointments that we’ve come across this year.

Surprises

1) James Harden

Fear The Beard! What else is there to say, this guy is an absolute beast. Harden is posting career highs across the board, averaging 26.1 points, 5.7 assists, 4.8 boards, 1.9 steals and .5 blocks per game. When The Beard got traded to the Rockets everyone thought his numbers would increase, but no one thought he would be a top-five fantasy player midway through the season. As long as he can stay healthy, big things will continue to come. Expect this kind of production nightly as Harden establishes himself as the third-best shooting guard in the league after Kobe and Wade.

2) Nikola Vucevic

A pleasant surprise this year, Nikola Vucevic could be the steal of the 2012-2013 season. With an average draft position (ADP) of 171 in standard 12-team leagues, Vucevic was seen as a capable contributor in points, rebounds and blocks but not a top-10 PF/C. Vucevic has had four-plus games of 17 or more rebounds and has earned 32-plus minutes a game for the struggling Orlando Magic. Many people overlooked this piece in the blockbuster Dwight Howard deal, but it looks like Orlando got this one right.

3) Paul George

Paul George continues to amaze me. He has all the talent in the world, but seemed inconsistent at times last year for whatever reason. However, this year due to a blessing in disguise injury to Danny Granger, George has taken the next step in his long and talented career. Getting selected to his first of many all-star games this year, George is averaging 17.6 points, 7.8 rebounds, 4 assists, 1.8 steals and .7 blocks per game, all career highs. George is playing at such an elite level lately, rumors have swirled that Granger could be traded before the deadline. You know what they say, if it ain’t broke don’t fix it.

4) David Lee

What a year David Lee is having. Deserving of his all-star selection, Lee is averaging 19 points, 10.8 rebounds, 3.8 assists and just under 1 steal per game. More importantly he, along with Steph Curry, is a big reason why the Warriors are in playoff contention this year. This production wasn’t expected seeing as the Warriors brought Andrew Bogut and Carl Landry onto the scene this past offseason. Shooting over 50 percent from the field, while leading the league in double- doubles this year with 33 to go along with one triple-double, Lee will continue to dominate. With an ADP of 38 in standard 12-team fantasy drafts this year, Lee is a top-five fantasy player only behind superstars like Lebron, Durant, Kobe and Harden.

5) Tony Parker

Tony Parker is on his way to having a career year. Leading the Spurs to the best record in the NBA this year, there is no question the team has become his. Averaging 21 points, 7.7 assists, 3 rebounds and 1 steal per game, while shooting a career high 54 percent from the field, Parker is easily in the prime of his impressive career. In his past five games, Parker is averaging close to 30 points a game while maintaining that high field-goal percentage. He is the second-best point guard this year in fantasy scoring — only behind Russell Westbrook — and will continue to dominate as the Spurs cruise during the second half of the season. With an average draft position of 46, don’t be surprised to see Tony on a ton of championship winning teams this year.

Other Notable Mentions

Greivis Vasquez-Leads the league in double doubles amongst all guards. (ADP-111)
J.J. Hickson- 28 double doubles, good for fourth in league amongst all players. ( ADP-113)
Joakim Noah- First all-star appearance while having a career year in all categories. (ADP-56)

Disappointments

Deron Williams, Joe Johnson and Gerald Wallace

This is not the team the Brooklyn Nets envisioned after spending a ton of money in the offseason. Deron Williams looks out of sorts and uncomfortable, Joe Johnson seems to be playing better as of late, but has struggled the majority of the year figuring out how to adjust his game when he’s not the number one option and Gerald Wallace has fallen off completely. For being a top-10 pick in most league and being considered a top-three point guard last year, Williams has been nothing short of a major disappointment. Johnson’s efficiency has taken a major hit this year. Even though he is averaging about 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists a game, Johnson is shooting 42 percent from the field, his worse average since his days in Phoenix. Wallace’s average draft position this year was 57th. He’s owned in only 50 percent of ESPN leagues and is averaging 8.8 points per game, his worst points average since his days in Sacramento. Good thing Mikhail Prokhorov has deep, deep pockets.

Roy Hibbert

Coming off his first all-star appearance last year,  many thought that Hibbert would continue to excel in Indiana. Unfortunately, this year has been the exact opposite. Shooting a career-low 40 percent from the field, Hibbert has been really poor this year. The only reason why the Pacers are still a playoff dark horse is because of David West and Paul George. Hibbert’s ADP was 49th, putting him ahead of guys like Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday and Joakim Noah. Can anyone say redraft?

Steve Nash and Pau Gasol

If anyone told me at the beginning of the season that Pau and Steve would be this disappointing I would laugh in their face for days on end. Pick and pop all day is what i envisioned pre-season, but man was I wrong. These guys will be hall of famers one day, but for some reason Mike D’Antoni’s system has been a damper on their production. At first I thought it was Kobe’s ball dominance, but after he transformed into Kobe Johnson, Nash’s production continued to struggle. Of course, Pau looked like he was coming into form, but then he got hurt. With average draft positions of 16 for Gasol and 40 for Nash, a ton of people thought this team would be championship bound, but now we will be lucky to make the eighth seed… someone call Phil.

Tyreke Evans

The Kings continue to be one of the most disappointing franchises in the NBA. After his rookie year, everyone believed Tyreke would turn the franchise around, but he continues to struggle with living up to those expectations. With an ADP of 52, Evans had some people believing this would  be the year, but instead he is averaging a career-low in points and assists. At this point the Kings might be wise to trade him while he has some value and build the team around Demarcus Cousins.

Other Notable Mentions

Marcin Gortat- No Steve Nash… need I say more? (ADP-34)
Andre Igoudala- Iggy is still trying to find his groove in Denver, no one thought it would take this long. (ADP-33)
Kris Humphries- 29 double-doubles last year, on track for 12 this year. (ADP-76)

All stats from: http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball/fantasy/nba/
ADP rankings: http://www.fantasypros.com/nba/rankings/overall.php

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Rico’s 24/7 Fantasy
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