handicapper – The Cover 4

The Betting Corner: Monday, April 29th 2013

April 29, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-28-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – Toronto at NY Yankees

WIN: 1 Unit – Cincinnati at Washington (Under 7.5)

WIN: 1 Unit – Baltimore at Oakland

WIN: 1 Unit – LA Angels at Seattle

LOSS: 1 Unit – Atlanta at Detroit (Under 8)

Season YTD: 33-29 +1.82 Units

Another big card on the day. No time to do any write ups. Picks are below.

___

1 Unit – Minnesota at Detroit (Over 8.5)

1 Unit – Pittsburgh at Milwaukee

1 Unit – Cincinnati at St Louis

1 Unit – San Francisco at Arizona (Under 8)

____________________________________________________________________________
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Filed Under: General Tagged With: betting, Betting Corner, gambling, handicapper, moneyline, over/under, runline

The Betting Corner: MLB Sunday, April 28th, 2013

April 27, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-27-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – San Francisco at San Diego (-105)

Loss: 1 Unit – LA Angels at Seattle (Over 6.5)

Season YTD: 30-27 +1.07 Units

Back to the same old losing games by a thread. San Fran blows a 5 run early lead to a team who has scored more than 5 runs in a game only 4 times all year. 2 times have been when we bet against them. Great timing. Is Seattle, we miss by 1 run. Had the Angels been able to tie it up 3-3 we would have been able to cover even if it went to extras. Big card tomorrow, not time to do any write ups though.

___

1 Unit – Toronto at NY Yankees

1 Unit – Cincinnati at Washington (Under 7.5)

1 Unit – Baltimore at Oakland

1 Unit – LA Angels at Seattle

1 Unit – Atlanta at Detroit (Under 8)

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

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Jeremy Murray
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: Baseball, betting, gambling, handicapper, moneyline, over.under, run line, sports, total

The Betting Corner: MLB Saturday, April 27th, 2013

April 27, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-26-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – Atlanta at Detroit (+115)

LOSS: 1 Unit – Philadelphia at NY Mets (Over 7.5) (-120)

Season YTD: 30-25 +3.12 Units

Two consecutive days now we haven’t even been close with our plays. We haven’t lost many like this so far this year. Now you see why I’ve been frustrated losing games we shouldn’t be, because you knew these types of games would come where you’ve got no shot. Our record isn’t indicative of the types of plays we’ve been putting out this year. Hopefully our breaks will come sooner rather than later.

___

1 Unit – San Francisco at San Diego (-105)

It’s no secret that Barry Zito has struggled against San Diego in the past (holding 4.52 ERA aginst them in his career. But Stults is no saint against the Giants either. Even though he’s got a positive record, he’s still rocking a 4.94 ERA against the them. So you can throw those stats out the window. This one seems pretty simple. At roughly even money, I’ll go with the better offense and pitcher overall this year.

Zito is sporting a 3-1 record with a 3.42 ERA. Keep in mind too that all of his runs this year were given up in Milwaukee 2 weeks ago where he got lit up for 9 earned in 2.2 innings. Other than that, he’s been untouchable. Outside of his first start of the year, Stults has been touched up on a continuous basis, giving up 4, 3, and 5 runs to the Dodgers twice and our Giants. San Fran is averaging 4.2 runs per game in 2013 (4.09 on the road) versus San Diego’s measly 3.2 runs per game (3.30 at home).

___

1 Unit – LA Angels at Seattle (Over 6.5)

This is one of those cases where just because Felix Hernandez is pitching, the total is set extremely low. For this case however, he hasn’t historically pitched well against the Angels. He’s fresh off his 100th victory as a starter, throwing 6 shut out innings with 9 K’s (granted it was against Houston). His success, or lack there of, against the Angels in his career would indicate a different type of outing for him tonight. He’s 6-12 over 30 career starts with an ERA just north of 4. He’s lost his last 5 starts against LA, giving up 7, 2, 4, 4, and 5 earned runs.

Joe Blanton on the other hand, holds a 3.5 ERA over 15 starts against Seattle with an 8-5 record. So far this year though, he’s yet to last longer than 6 innings or give up fewer than 4 earned runs. It’s almost impossible to argue betting the under in any game listed at 6.5. 3 runs a pop and we’re home free for the over. Given the above stats, I’d say the odds of that happening are far greater than not.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: angels, Baseball, Betting Corner, felix, gambling, Giants, handicapper, mariners, over/under, padres, the king, total, world series, Zito

The Betting Corner: MLB Friday, April 26th, 2013

April 25, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-25-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – Texas at Minnesota (Over 8.5)

Season YTD: 30-23 +5.32 Units

Well, both pitchers came to play in this one. Can’t say we had this one right. Texas had a few chances with the bases loaded in the middle innings and less than two outs but couldn’t produce the breakout inning we needed.

___

1 Unit – Atlanta at Detroit (+115)

Even though Detroit won against KC the other day, they still haven’t been playing well. You could argue 4 of their runs were unearned because they came after an error that would’ve ended the inning. 2 of the remaining 3 runs scored were from players that walked due to the wildness of Wade Davis. Outside of those gifts their offense has been stagnant. Atlanta on the other hand went into Colorado and took 2 of 3 from the number 1 team in the NL West.

I feel I’ve got a pretty good read on Maholm this year, we’ve been on the right side of two if his games this year (one was last week with Pitt in a 3-1 victory). He’s coming off the 3 earned runs we called and would love to bounce back against struggling Detroit. Maholm is holds a 2.60 ERA against the Tigers in 3 career starts. Add that to his outrageous 3-1 record and 1.03 ERA, I’ll take him as a road underdog against a struggling offense.

Anibal Sanchez on the other hand, while throwing well this year (2-1 with a 1.75 ERA), has struggled against Atlanta in the past. In 17 starts, he’s 4-11 with a 5.42 ERA (Atlanta’s won the last 5 games he’s started against them). And if we don’t get up early, it’s always nice knowing Atlanta’s bullpen is 5-1 with a 1.60 ERA on the year. That’s ranked #1 in MLB. Detroit, not so much. They hold a 1-5 record with a 4.86 ERA. That’s good for 27th in the majors.

___

1 Unit – Philadelphia at NY Mets (Over 7.5) (-120)

7.5 is an awfully low total for these two teams considering their offensive capabilities and who they’re sending to the mound. Hell, Dillon Gee threw two and a half weeks ago against the Phils and gave up 7 in just 3 innings. Philadelphia hasn’t been playing bad. They’re getting runners on base, they’re just not getting those timely hits to get over the hump. Facing Gee again may be the kick they need. He’s now got a 7.55 career ERA against them in 7 games.

The Mets offense has scored an average of 5.68 runs per game (ranked #1 in the NL) and are currently 7-4 this year against right handed pitching. Kyle Kendrick has pitched well in the early going, but I expect enough of a hiccup if not from him then hopefully from the Philly bullpen who has fared so well when we’ve gone with them in the last.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
Sports Activist for The Cover 4
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: Atlanta, Baseball, Betting Corner, braves, Detroit, gambling, handicapper, maholm, mets, mlb, moneyline, Philadelphia, phillies, runline, spread, Tigers, total

The Betting Corner: MLB Thursday, April 25th, 2013

April 24, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-24-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Arizona at San Francisco (+150)

LOSS: 1 Unit – Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (-120)

WIN: 1 Unit – Texas at LA Angels (Over 7.5)

LOSS: 0.5 Units – Kansas City at Detroit

WIN: 0.5 Units – Cleveland at Chi White Sox (Under 8)

Season YTD: 30-22 +6.37 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 12-9

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 7-14

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 15-6

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 8-15

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 8-11

___

We tack on 1.3 units yesterday, but it could have been a lot more IMO. Tough to be frustrated with a winning day, but both our losses could have been avoided. A costly error in Detroit opens up the floodgates to a 4 run inning (3B Mike Moustakas botched 2 ground balls in a row; one of which went right through his legs, costing us 4 runs in what could have been a win). In Philly, another bullpen blows a 2 run lead we held the entire game late. All 3 of our other wins were just as a suspected. A coin flip of a game in San Fran goes our way, Cleveland and Chicago continue to have trouble scoring runs, and I’m pissed with a total of 7.5 I didn’t take the Angel game as a step out. I had a feeling Texas could cover this one on their own with the pitching they were up against and they accomplished it in one inning. We’re slowly grinding our way forward right now (which is a hell of a lot better than backwards) but we just can’t hit that break out day. It’ll happen though, the streak will come. Until then, a slow profit is perfectly fine with me.

___

1 Unit – Texas at Minnesota (Over 8.5)

Texas hit the over for us last night themselves, we go back to them for the over in game 1 of their 4 game set with Minnesota. Texas is on a tear at the plate of late and Minnesota is holding their own as well (scoring at least 4 runs in 4 of their last 5). Vance Worley hasn’t proved he can pitch successfully at Target Field yet and last year he held an ERA a full 2 points higher at home vs on the road. Texas sends to the mound rookie Nick Tepesch who has held his own early this 2013 campaign. He’s yet to be weather tested in his young career and throwing in 30 degree weather against any MLB offense may prove itself to be a bit of a curveball. Take the over.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: betting, gambling, handicapper, mlb, over/under, rangers, Texas, total, twins, worley

The Betting Corner: MLB Wednesday, April 24th, 2013

April 23, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-23-13 Recap:

CANCELED: 1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox (Under 8)

Season YTD: 27-20 +5.07 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 11-9

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 6-14

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 15-5

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 8-14

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 8-10

___

We have another game cancelled yesterday. In recent history, I don’t remember this many games that have been cancelled due to inclement weather. We’ve got to be in or at least close to double digits at this point and there’s still a week left in the month of April.

___

1 Unit – Arizona at San Francisco (+150)

As I’m writing this, Arizona has just taken a 6-4 lead over San Fran in the top of the 11th so I’m going to assume they’ll close it out. We could’ve gotten a little more value out of this had they lost the first two games of this series but our bet Wednesday is based off of value anyways so it’s kind of irrelevant.

Ian Kennedy has struggled a bit this year, but the Giants would be a perfect candidate to break out of it. In his career against San Francisco, he’s started 13 games and has a 6-2 record with a 2.38 ERA. In his career at AT&T park, he’s 3-1 over 7 starts holding a 2.66 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .215 opponent BA. His opponent in Madison Bumgarner has started off a little stronger this year, going 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA. He hasn’t given up more than 2 runs in a start yet YTD. He doesn’t have horrible stats against Arizona holding a .500 record in 8 starts and a 3.78 ERA.

Two reasons we’re betting this one. The first is I don’t expect Bumgarner to continue his dominance in this game. 3 of his first 4 games were against under .500 teams and Arizona has won 4 of their last 5 games against him. The second reason is the moneyline is way off. No reason in hell should Arizona be anywhere near a +150 underdog given this matchup.

___

1 Unit – Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (-120)

For the second game on our card, we’re going with Philadelphia in game two of this civil war series. Hamel’s pitched well, but the Phillies offensive woes continued as they lost 2-0 Tuesday night. They face off Wednesday against Wandy Rodriguez who’s started off the season strong. He’s 2-0 in 3 starts with an ERA of 0.56. However, in Citizen’s Bank Ballpark, he’s sporting a 7.11 ERA over 4 games. He’s also got the following stats against the following Philly hitters. Ryan Howard (4-12 w/ 1 HR), Jimmy Rollins (6-15 w/ 1 HR), Chase Utely (2-10), and Michael Young (6-18). Those are some encouraging stats for the core of the Philly offense (less Utley). Hopefully, they’ll be able to put a few early runs on the board and relieve some pressure off Halladay.

Speaking of Halladay, he seems to have figured out his early season woes, getting 2 wins in his last 2 starts giving up only 3 earned runs in 15 innings of work. Not only that, but he’s pitched extremely well against Pittsburgh in his career. He’s 4-1 over 6 starts with an ERA under 1. At -120, at home, AND after a loss in the series opener, look for the Fightin’ Phils to bounce back and scrap out a win in this one.

___

**Note – The lines on the following games aren’t up yet. I’ll check into them tomorrow and update the page with plays if needed.

Atlanta at Colorado

Toronto at Baltimore

___

0.5 Units – Cleveland at Chi White Sox (Under 8) -120

We’re hopping back on the same play we had yesterday before it got rained out. We’re knocking it down to 0.5 units however because our odds were hacked from -105 to -120, and it scares me just enough that they were ready to go yesterday and have to re-prepare themselves all over again to start today (some pitchers can do it no problem and others hate breaking their routine). The stats are still there to back up this play, but there’s a few more variables at work now.

___

0.5 Units – Kansas City at Detroit (+166)

Wade Davis has always been a quick starter in his career. In the month of April all time, he holds a 7-3 record with a 2.83 ERA. So far this year, he’s 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA (and hasn’t given up an earned run in his last 2). His opponent in Max Scherzer has also started off well this season, honing a 1-0 record with a 2.84 ERA. The line is what get’s me in this one. Detroit has been struggling to score runs (averaging 1.2 runs per game in their last 5) and has lost their last 4 in a row. Kansas City played very competitively in Boston taking 2 of 3 (surprising considering the emotion Boston was playing with in front of their home fans for the first time since the bombing). The only reason I’m not making this a 1 unit play is that neither of these teams have played a game in 3 days, so with that much time off, I don’t wanna get burned if Detroit’s offense comes out hot.

___

1 Unit – Texas at LA Angels (Over 7.5) (-115)

The Angels Bullpen is taxed right now. They’ve had 2 extra inning games in their last 3, of which the bullpen has thrown 14 innings. De La Rosa, Downs, and Frieri have all thrown at least an inning of work in each of those 3. As if that wasn’t bad enough, their hand is forced to use Michael Roth in a spot start thinning their bullpen even more. This game could get out of hand quick against an offense as powerful 1 through 9 as Texas. 7.5 seems awfully low considering the above. Not to mention, neither team has scored less than 4 runs in their previous 5 games. Darvish is the only reason this game is near the number it’s at and he only lasted 5 innings and gave up 3 against the Angels not 2 and a half weeks ago.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: Arizona, Baseball, diamondbacks, gambling, Giants, handicapper, mlb, moneyline, over/under, Philadelphia, philles, pirates, Pittsburgh, runline, San Francisco, spread, the betting corner, totals

The Betting Corner: MLB Tuesday, April 23, 2013

April 22, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-22-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (Over 7)

WIN: 1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox

Season YTD: 27-20 +5.07 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 10-9

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-14

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-5

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 8-13

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 8-10

___

We split Monday’s plays in an up and down emotional day. We lose game 1 with the Yankees under; a game which had 6 runs scored in the first 3 and a half innings, only to result in 5 and a half shutout innings after that. We make amends for it with a late come from behind victory in Chicago. Asdrubal Cabrera has hopefully broke out of his early season woes (he’s on my fantasy team) with a game winning 2 out 2 run single in the top of the 8th to go up 3-2. Just one play for Tuesday.

___

1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox (Under 8)

We go back to the Cleveland/Chicago series for a second consecutive day. These two teams have met 4 times so far this year, hitting 3 of 4 on the under (covering by 3.5, 4, and 6.5 runs). Chicago has been struggling to score runs of late averaging less than 2 runs per game in their last 4. Cleveland seems to be scoring in bunches. They’ve scored 3 or less in 3 of their last 5 with the other two coming against Houston Astros pitching (which isn’t saying much considering I saw a stat today in which I believe no starter has made it passed the 6th inning for them in like their last 7 games).

Both young pitchers have started off their 2013 campaign hot as well. Even with a 1-2 record, Zach McAllister bolsters a 3.12 ERA. He is however 2-0 in 4 starts against the Sox with a 2.66 ERA. In his young career, he’s historically pitched much better on the road vs at hime with a split ERA of 3.30 away to 4.98 at home. Quintana is coming off of 2 straight with no earned runs allowed (one was against Cleveland last week). He’s got a 2.55 ERA with one win on the year. Both have favorable batter/pitcher heads up matchups. I’d prefer this one at 8.5, but it’s never going to get there. If you’re not fast enough in betting this one, it may drop to 7.5 by game time.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
Sports Activist for The Cover 4
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: advice, betting, Betting Corner, chi town, Chicago, Cleveland, gambling, handicapper, indians, moneyline, over.under, runline, spread, total, white sox

The Betting Corner: MLB Monday, April 22nd, 2013

April 21, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-21-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – LA Dodgers at Baltimore (-122)

WIN: 1 Unit – Oakland at Tampa Bay (Over 8) (+100)

LOSS: 1 Unit – St Louis at Philadelphia (Under 8.5) (-112)

Season YTD: 26-19 +5.22 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 10-8

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-13

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-5

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 7-13

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 7-10

___

Well, Mitchell Boggs did it to us again. Last time we had the Cards over the Reds and the St Louis bullpen blew up for almost a double digit inning. Sunday, we had a 2 run leeway going into the bottom of the 8th. Needless to say, Boggs gave up twice that and we end the week on a losing note. Onto tomorrow…

___

1 Unit – NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (Over 7)

The Yankees take on the Rays for their first series of the year Monday. Veteran CC Sabathia faces off against newcomer Matt Moore. Sabathia has 29 career starts against TB, going 10-9 with a 3.19 ERA. Matt Moore is 2-2 over 4 starts with a 5.06 ERA. 7 runs is just too low for this game. Tampa Bay’s offense is on a good run of late and it’s not too much to ask this injury ridden NY offense to score a minimum of 3 runs. If each team hits that number we’re guaranteed at least a push. It always seems when the AL east plays one another, starting pitchers have trouble getting into late innings due to pitch counts. Hopefully that’s the case tomorrow.

___

1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox

Justin Masterson has had quite a solid start to is 2013 campaign. Tomorrow, he faces off against the White Sox, a team who he threw a complete game shut out against not two weeks ago. He’s got a 2.46 ERA against Chi town in his career. Dylan Axelrod on the other hand has had only one start against Cleveland where he gave up 4 runs in less than 5 innings. At even money, considering the Indians have scored 24 runs in their last 2 games (Chicago has scored 4), I’ll look for them to make it 3 in a row.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
Sports Activist for The Cover 4
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: Betting Corner, gambling, handicapper, indians, masterson, moneyline, New York, over/under, rays, sabathia, sports betting, Tampa Bay, total, Yankees

The Betting Corner: MLB Sunday, April 21st, 2013

April 21, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-20-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Atlanta at Pittsburgh (+130)

WIN: 1 Unit – Arizona at Colorado (-111)

Season YTD: 25-17 +6.56 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 9-8

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-12

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-4

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 7-12

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 6-10

___

Solid 2-0 sweep yesterday as we were right on with our analysis. Maholm gives up the three runs we’d hoped and McDonald pitched great giving up only 1 run on a walk. Both bullpens were flawless as expected and we cash in on the 3-1 victory. In Colorado, De La Rosa pitched lights out in their 4-3 victory against Arizona. The bullpen made us sweat it a little more than we’d liked late, but they still got the job done. Let’s see if we can ride the momentum and close the week on a high note.

___

1 Unit – LA Dodgers at Baltimore (-122)

Baltimore goes for the sweep today in their series finale against the Dodgers. A late pitching change sends Stephen Fife to the mound for his Major League debut. Arrieta is no Cy Young candidate, but the O’s offense should have a field day with a pitcher making his major league debut on the road. At -122, this price seems like a steal.

___

1 Unit – Oakland at Tampa Bay (Over 8) (+100)

Outside of yesterday, Tampa Bay’s offense seems to be clicking this past week. They face up against youngster Tom Milone and Oakland today. Milone’s struggled in his 2 starts past against the Rays, holding a 1-1 record and 8.18 ERA. Not only that, but his career ERA is over a point and a half higher on the road than at home.

Roberto Hernandez (Fausto Carmona) is a league veteran but he hasn’t made a career of throwing shutouts. He’s an innings eater and you can usually bank on him giving up a few runs per start. In 13 career games against Oakland, he’s 4-7 with a 5.14 ERA. Oakland’s offense has been putting up runs in bunches, and with a total of 8, I don’t see it a problem for each of these teams to score 4 runs a piece and hit the over for us.

___

1 Unit – St Louis at Philadelphia (Under 8.5) (-112)

The Phillies and Cardinals conclude their first series of the season under the lights on Sunday Night Baseball. It’s no mystery the Fightin’ Phils haven’t been running well of late. They’re struggling to put runs on the board and their record is suffering as a result. They go up against Jake Westbrook tonight who bring a 1-1 record into tonights contest. That’s odd considering he still hasn’t given up an earned run so far in 15 2/3 innings this 2013 campaign. Unless the Phillies can break out of their slump and put a few crooked numbers on the board, expect another solid outing from Jake in this one.

The Phils send to the mound Kyle Kendrick, who holds a 1-1 record to date with a 3.38 ERA. In his career against the Cardinals, he’s 5-1 over 6 starts with a 2.68 ERA. He’s got to know he has to be sharp in this one to have a chance at a W considering the Phillies offense has been stagnant at best this year, scoring an average of just 3.5 runs per contest. I’m expecting a pitchers duel in this one, and as long as the bullpens don’t implode late, we should be able to take the under to the bank.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
Sports Activist for The Cover 4
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: Athletics, Baseball, betting, Betting Corner, Cardinals, dodgers, gambling, handicapper, moneyline, orioles, over/under, phillies, rays, runline, sports, sunday night baseball, total

The Betting Corner: Saturday, April 20th, 2013

April 20, 2013 by James Kaikis Leave a Comment

4-19-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Cleveland at Houston (Under 8.5)

Season YTD: 23-17 +4.26 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 8-8

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-11

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-3

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 7-11

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 5-10

___

We were on the right side in yesterdays contest. Starting pitching went pretty much as I expected, just a few runs given up on a few home runs for each. We really cashed in this game though when the bullpens were able to shut it down completely in the last third of the game. We’re on that little winning streak of 5-1-1 that I promised would eventually come after a run of bad games. Lets hope we can keep it going.

___

1 Unit – Atlanta at Pittsburgh (+130)

Pittsburgh has been playing well lately. Their offense is clicking and I was unaware of this last game, but their team bullpen ERA is 6th in MLB at 2.34. Today is going to be a pitcher’s duel whether you realize it or not. The names Paul Maholm and James McDonald don’t exactly scream “pitcher’s duel” but when you see the statistics you’ll come to realize why Vegas set this line at 7.5.

Paul Maholm hasn’t given up an earned run this year. Granted he’s pitched against Washington (13th), Philadelphia (15th), and Miami (30th in total runs scored 2013) so he hasn’t been tested all that much. Maholm brings a career 4.20 ERA (3.74 and 3.54 the last 2 years with Atlanta) into todays game. One thing to note though is that on the road he holds a 4.80 ERA, giving him a home/away spread of almost a point difference. Don’t expect him to exit todays game with less than 3 earned runs to his name (remember that reversion to the mean that I talked about, this is where it hopefully will help us tonight).

James McDonald comes into this game with a 1-2 clip and a 5.27 ERA; hardly a line you’d want to see your pitcher have against a team who’s only lost 3 games all year. However, against the Braves in the past 3 years, he’s 3-0 over 4 starts with a 1.50 ERA. Oh yeah, and his home/away splits last year, 6-2 at home with a 2.73 ERA vs just 6-6 with a 5.95 ERA at home. McDonald also holds the edge in the batter/pitcher matchups. You could argue that this is a coin flip of a ballgame, so at +130, we’re getting a nice price in this one.

___

1 Unit – Arizona at Colorado (-111)

Colorado’s bats have been their crutch as of late overcoming some shoddy pitching the last 5. They shouldn’t need to score 8 in this one to secure a victory though. Jorge De La Rosa takes the bump in his 4th start of the year. He’s 1-1 so far with a 3.86 ERA in 3 starts. In his career against Arizona however, he’s 6-3 with an ERA of 2.41. That’s quite a feat considering half those games have come in the altitude of Colorado.

His opponent in Trevor Cahill hasn’t had nearly as much success so far this year; or against the Rockies in his career for that matter. He’s 1-4 in 5 career starts against the Rockies. This game shouldn’t be an even -110 contest. I’ll ride the Rockies hot 5 game winning streak in this one.

____________________________________________________________________________
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Jeremy Murray
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

Filed Under: General Tagged With: Baseball, Betting Corner, braves, gamble, gambling, handicapper, moneyline, over.under, pirates, rockies, runline, total

The Betting Corner: Monday, April 29th 2013

The Betting Corner: MLB Sunday, April 28th, 2013

The Betting Corner: MLB Saturday, April 27th, 2013

The Betting Corner: MLB Friday, April 26th, 2013

The Betting Corner: MLB Thursday, April 25th, 2013

The Betting Corner: MLB Wednesday, April 24th, 2013

The Betting Corner: MLB Tuesday, April 23, 2013

The Betting Corner: MLB Monday, April 22nd, 2013

The Betting Corner: MLB Sunday, April 21st, 2013

The Betting Corner: Saturday, April 20th, 2013

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