Fantasy Football Preview: A Guide to Win Your League

Presentation1

Who to Target, Who to Avoid

Round 1:

Yes, you’re going to want to go RB here, big surprise.  The only non-RB I’m targeting is Calvin Johnson.  Outside of Megatron, I’m taking a top-12 back to help sure up that position.

Who to Target:

CJ Spiller:  Spiller’s going to have a monster year.  Barring injury I’m willing to put my fantasy credibility on the line and say he’s a legitimate candidate to rack up 2000 total yards. He’s my No. 2 pick after Adrian Peterson.

Doug Martin: Dougie has my attention.  I think he’s worth the third pick considering he’s got an elite offensive line clearing holes for him and Greg Schiano said the Bucs will be leaning on him.  If he and his line stay healthy, look for his numbers to improve even after a stellar year last season.

Ray Rice: I’ve seen Rice fall out of the top 5.  At six it’s a no-brainer. Many are afraid of him due to the slight emergence of his backup, Bernard Pierce.  Pierce is an added bonus in my eyes.  John Harbaugh has said Rice will be lined up in the slot when Pierce is in the backfield which sounds like PPR gold to me.  Pierce can also keep Rice fresh throughout the year which could bring a welcomed consistency to Rice’s fantasy performance. Draft Pierce as an insurance policy.

Calvin Johnson: If I don’t get AP, Spiller, Martin or Rice and I’m sitting at six with Megatron on the board, I’m taking him.  He’s a monster in PPR leagues and I think his TD numbers will be up a whole lot from last year.  Calvin owners from last year won their league 25 percent of the time, the highest winning percentage by any player outside of AP. Expect to get Stevan Ridley and Darren Sproles as your first and second backs and I’d recommend going after a Shane Vereen or Daryl Richardson as well.  Either way you’ll want to pay attention to the RB position later in your draft.

Al Morris/Matt Forte: These two are going at the end of round one and in some drafts, the beginning of round two.  If you have the last pick this year there’s a good chance you end up with both of these guys.  You gotta love that.  When it comes back around you can focus on snagging a couple high-end WRs.  You could take one WR and an elite TE or QB such as Jason Witten or Drew Brees/Aaron Rodgers, a really solid draft strategy.

Who to Avoid:

Jamal Charles: I had a terrible experience with Charles, taking him with the No. 2 overall pick the year he tore his ACL. I may be biased on this guy, but I’m not convinced he’s who I want to count on as my No. 1 RB.  I look for reliability with the first RB I take enabling me to take risks on high upside guys later.  If you must take Charles, look to follow him with a pick like Ridley.  I like Ridley’s ability to remain consistent.

Arian Foster: I love Arian Foster, I took him first overall last year and won my league thanks in large part to him.  There are so many questions surrounding Foster this year I’m almost sure I’m avoiding him completely.  The only chance I’m taking Foster is if he falls to me at six or later and Megatron isn’t available.  I don’t think that will happen in most drafts.  If you take him, Ben Tate is a must-draft later on.

Marshawn Lynch: Why did the Seahawks take a RB in the second round in this year’s NFL draft?  On top of that Christine Michael has really impressed in camp and in preseason games.  He could steal a few carries.  Plus Lynch doesn’t really catch the ball.  I’d take him if it was between him and Morris at the end of the first, but that seems unlikely.

Jimmy Graham/Dez Bryant: Expect huge years for these guys.  I want them both on my team.  But  I’m not spending a first-round pick on either.

 

5 Sleeper WRs to Keep Your Eye On:

Justin Blackmon:  Blackmon isn’t that under the radar; however he’s still going extremely late in drafts for some reason.  Even with the four-game suspension he’s worth it because by the time he falls in drafts teams already have their starting WRs as well as a backup or even two.  You can’t go wrong with Blackmon. I’m sure he’ll produce even with the QB situation in Jacksonville.  The old Phil Simms quote applies here, “even when he isn’t open, he’s open.” I could get this guy the ball.

Kembrell Thompkins:  Another guy who the secret is out on.  Thompkins is going to start alongside Danny Amendola and we don’t see Amendola playing a full 16-game season so Thompkins may be the No. 1 in some weeks.  This kid is going a round or two after Blackmon, so when you take him it’s most likely you’ll already have 4 WRs.  You have to take him if that’s the case. He could be a 75-plus reception guy as he’s run both the deep routes and the Wes Welker-style routes for the Pats.

Markus Wheaton:  Wheaton can absolutely fly.  Emmanuel Sanders and Antonio Brown are the starters for the Steelers but expect Wheaton to be on the field a whole lot for Pittsburgh.  The Steelers could cause some problems for defenses with both Brown and Wheaton out there. That’s a serious amount of speed.

Kenny Stills: He’s the third WR for New Orleans and he’s a talent for sure. Drew Brees has already shown a lot of trust in the rookie in just a few preseason games.  He’ll go undrafted without a doubt, so pick him up if you don’t like how your WR corps looks immediately after your draft.  After 70 yards and a TD in Week 1 it will be a race to waiver wire for him anyway.

Brandon LaFell:  LaFell showed he can contribute as a No. 2 receiver for Carolina.  Cam Newton has found him in the red zone a few times as he’s much bigger than Steve Smith.  If you need a fill in, you could get a TD out of him.

5 Sleeper RBs to Keep Your Eye On:

LaMichael James: The 49ers began to get him involved last year and this year he should see even more action.  James possesses big play ability and is the young guy knocking on the old veteran’s door.  I remember a similar situation last year in San Fran involving a former No. 1 overall pick and some guy name Colin Kaepernick.  Hmm.

Christine Michael:  This kid fits right into the “beast mode” mentality in Seattle.  Michael is a physical runner who punishes defenders with every attempted tackle.  The Seahawks drafted him in the second round with no apparent need at RB, so we ask… Why?

Knowshon Moreno:  Still can picture him leaping over defenders in that Georgia uniform.  He’s a talented player who came on strong after Willis McGahee went down last season.  He is probably the most seasoned RB the Broncos have when you factor in pass protection, ball protection and receiving ability.  He’s worth the late pick it costs to get him.

Kenjon Barner: Jonathan Stewart’s been placed on the PUP list and even after he gets back I feel the tiny Oregon product, Barner, can show he deserves his touches. If he outplays DeAngelo Williams in the first six weeks, look out.

Isaac Redman: Went undrafted in my 12-team PPR high stakes league.  I scooped him off the waiver wire because LeVeon Bell’s out for awhile and sure enough Pittsburgh named him the interim starter. Nothing special here but he’ll carry the ball more than anyone on his team. There are only 32 of those guys out there ya know.

 

The Trick to Adding Depth and My Famous Jason Witten Pick
Year after year my favorite player to draft is Jason Witten. For the past two or three years explosive guys like Jimmy Graham and Vernon Davis garner all the attention and it’s made it even easier for me to go under the radar and snag Witten in the fifth round. At that point I have my starting RBs and WRs, and while people are “adding depth” at those positions, I’m stealing a 20-30 point player (referring to points per game) giving me an edge every week at the TE position.
The only matchup I’m losing is Witten vs. Graham (or Witten vs. a healthy Rob Gronkowski) and even then I’m competing with them, scoring enough at the position to allow my other players win me the week. Graham goes in the mid-to-late second round and scores a little more than Witten. Witten goes three rounds later and really gives you an edge since you took a stud RB or WR in the same round that Graham was picked.
With the next two picks you add either another RB and WR, or one of the two and an elite QB who’s fallen right to you. I find myself in this position every draft, a possible top-three guy like Tom Brady or Tony Romo falling right in my lap in the seventh round holding a big sign saying, “Draft Me!” So through seven rounds all starting positions (outside of DEF/ST and kicker) are filled and everyone of those guys flat out score points. Plus, you have the luxury of not having to worry about a finding a QB who can get you 20 points weekly or a TE who’ll get you 10. Why? Because you stole both Witten and Brady/Romo, who can be counted on to score a substantial amount of points throughout the year.
Now you can focus on depth.  You already know you’re getting points from your workhorses. Now is the time to take risks and target sleepers or undervalued guys. Snatch up guys like Kenny Britt or Lance Moore, DeAngelo Williams or Daryl Richardson adding more starters for their respective teams and late at that. Then take your risks like Kenbrell Thompkins or Justin Blackmon.  Then add a solid defense and kicker one round earlier than most in an attempt to get a leg up on those positions knowing you can get Kenny Stills or Isaac Redman (who have been going undrafted) with your last pick. A good defense and kicker to target just a tad early would be New England and Sebastian Janikowski. Try it out in mocks and see if you like your team.  I always do.

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NFL Season Wrap Up: Analysis, Awards and Much More.

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The greatest sport in America has played its final regular season game. As I sit here writing this article, I am both excited and sad at this reality. Part of me is excited for the playoffs to start, but the other part is upset this regular season is over. We have a number of story lines each season but this year just was different; it was a special year to say the least.

I could write all day about the things that really impressed me but I will only talk about a few of my favorites:

Record Breakers & Chasers

Calvin Johnson- I wanted to see Calvin eclipse the 2000 receiving yards this season. I think what Jerry did was more spectacular (given it is the age of the quarterback and enormous offensive outputs) but you can’t take that away from Megatron. Madden Curse?

Adrian Peterson- Can you believe it? I think that may have been the greatest second half I have seen out of a running back, ESPECIALLY one coming off a major knee surgery. I really wish AD broke that record in a passing era.

Single Season Sack Record- What a chase we had going down to the final days between Watt, Smith & Von Miller. Ultimately the record wasn’t broken but it was great to watch these three defensive player of the year candidates make it interesting.

Rookie Quarterbacks

The ideology of allowing rookie quarterbacks to learn on the bench is in the past; I believe this to be due to increased responsibilities and expanded offenses on both the high school and college levels. Luck and RGIII were different breeds of quarterbacks coming into the draft but look at Russell Wilson & even Ryan Tannehill. Luck, RGIII and Wilson all have led their teams to the playoffs! TO THE PLAYOFFS!! Wilson is such a great story; he was a cast off of his college team, transfer to Wisconsin, drafted as a project and now is in the Rookie of the Year race. Even Foles & Weeden did well, at times, this season.

Injury Comebacks

Do I really need to expand on this one? Peyton Manning is back and possibly better than ever after dangerous neck surgery. He started the season off a little slow but Manning picked it up to usual form. When his career is all said and done, I think he may go down as arguably the best to have ever played the game. There is a very elite group and he is definitely in it.

Adrian Peterson. I can’t say enough about this guy as he is a freak of nature; I think he may be the only human that could have responded from the injury like he did.

Passing Records Were Meant to Be Broken…Unfortunately.

The NFL is ever-changing and as fans we must learn to deal with the changes. I have a firm stance on NFL Passing Records being broken; I am not very impressed. Rules have changed to allow offenses to flourish thus teams are now passing 40/50 times per game instead of the 20/30 in the past. I commend players on passing for 5000 yards and breaking rookie passing yard records but it’s not my thing.

It’s not about how you start, but how you finish.

The Chicago Bears looked like a lock to make the playoffs. We are now finished with the regular season and the Bears will be watching the playoffs from their homes. In the last five games of the NFL regular season, the following teams finished:

Packers 4-1, Vikings 4-1, Seahawks 5-0, Redskins 5-0, Bears 2-3, Giants 2-3, Bengals 4-1, Colts 4-1, Patriots 4-1, Broncos 5-0, Ravens 1-4, Steelers 2-3, Texans 2-3.

Do I need to say much more?

Defense Wins Championships..and Offense too.

Of the Top 10 teams for Total Offense and Total Defense, 6 of the top 10 offenses made the playoffs while 5 of the top 10 defenses made the playoffs. The old saying was offense wins games ans defense win championships but, in this new NFL, you need an offense or you won’t keep up.

… Moving Forward (and backwards)
Preseason Picks

In the AFC, I was correct on 3 of 4 division winners and 4 of 6 playoff teams (Really Pittsburgh?!). The Bills- what a great pick by me.

As for the NFC, 2 of 4 division winners and 3 of 6 playoffs teams. Two teams (Cowboys & Bears) were down to the final game. Giants not making playoffs? Called that one…

My Super Bowl Prediction was: Packers over Ravens. I think I am still in good shape on this one (Green Bay at least) but I think the sputtering Ravens may not make it. I remember when I was doing my preseason picks and I couldn’t decide between the Ravens & the Texans. In the end, I chose the Ravens because I thought they would be healthier than the Texans, who seem to end up hurt every season. Well, looks like I was wrong on who would have more injuries…

Current NFL Playoff Predictions

When the Broncos were everyones preseason pick, I thought it was just a fad. Peyton Manning and that Bronco defense are the real deal and I expect them to come out of the AFC.

Part of me wants to take my preseason pick of the Packers but I think the 49ers do it this year.

In all reality, I believe both conferences are wide open and I would not be surprised to see any NFC team in the Super Bowl and the majority of the AFC teams (besides the Colts & Bengals) as well.

…Now the Good Stuff

NFL Awards Predictions

Coach of the Year

The Candidates: Pete Carroll, Jim Harbaugh, John Fox, Mike Smith, Chuck Pagano (kinda?), Mike Shanahan

The Winner: Carroll. Call it what you like, the Seahawks were the best team at home this season. They nearly won the NFC West with a rookie quarterback. I think Harbaugh is a close second, especially after making a gutsy move to the second year quarterback.

Comeback Player of the Year

The Candidates: Peyton Manning, Adrian Peterson

The Winner: Manning. I want to give AD my vote but Manning came back from a surgery that may have ended his football career. What Peterson did was absolutely remarkable but Manning couldn’t throw a football this time last year (granted AP probably couldn’t walk that well).

Defensive Rookie of the Year

The Candidates: Janoris Jenkins, Luke Kuechly, Bobby Wagner, Casey Hayward

The Winner: Jenkins. I was so impressed with Jenkins every game this season because he is a game-changer. The rookie had the ability to defend any wide receiver in the NFL. Kuechly may lead the league in tackles but Jenkins top 10 ability showed. This kid is going to be a superstar for a long time (IF, and a big IF, he can keep his act together)

Offensive Rookie of the Year

The Candidates: Robert Griffin III, Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson

The Winner: RGIII. I honestly think all three deserve this award but RGIII will take it in the end. Wilson and RGIII have nearly identical numbers besides a few hundred rushing yard difference. I really like what Andrew Luck did this season but I do think he finishes third in this race.

Defensive Player of the Year

The Candidates: Von Miller, Aldon Smith, J.J. Watt

The Winner: Watt. I think Miller is a very close second but Watt was the most dominant player on the field for the majority of the season. While Miller may be the more complete player, Watt wrecked havoc week after week; he even had 16 pass deflections!!

Offensive Player of the Year

The Candidates: Tom Brady, Calvin Johnson, Peyton Manning, Adrian Peterson

The Winner: Peterson. Truly the OPOY! Again, I really wish Peterson broke the rushing record but the second most all-time is pretty damn impressive. Calvin Johnson may finish second in this statistic race.

Most Valuable Player

The Candidates: Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Adrian Peterson

…… Drum Roll Please…..

The Winner: Manning. I truly think Peterson is the Most Valuable Player to his team (cuz we all know how highly I value Christian Ponder) but we know how the media really votes on these awards; its a quarterback award. The Vikings getting into the playoffs really helped Petersons resume but a rushing record would have even more. Manning was not only good, he was great. 68.6 completion percentage, 4,659 yards, 37 touchdowns, 105.8 Rating. More than impressive. Just a few weeks ago I wanted to vote Brady but after a few subpar weeks (for his standard), I think he finishes behind.

Thanks for reading!

Onto the playoffs!!

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Wild Week Eight Predictions!

Which quarterback will lead his team to victory this Sunday?

As week eight has arrived we are roughly approaching the half way point of the season. The next few weeks will be very critical for a number of teams as teams will determine who are the contenders and who are the pretenders.

Week seven was a redemption week for me as I finished 12-1 on predictions with my only loss on a one-point Tennessee upset over the Bills (c’mon Buffalo, I thought you would do much better this season). With last weeks results, I am back up to 62% winning percentage on the year. Although last week was more of a “favorites” type of week, this week should prove to be much better for the ‘dogs.

To start off the week, I chose incorrectly on Thursday Night Football Game despite touting the Buccaneers to a number of people earlier in the day. I apologize for the lack of proper grammer in the following text message but had to show it for verification purposes (looks as though I was preoccupied doing something else while having a lot to say). I will omit the individual I was texting but they know who they are.

(Yeah Ponder has sucked lately and Freeman playing very well. Ap has that injury. Thursday games are very hard to predict and all have come down to the wire. No time to game plan on a short week. I might take tampa to win outright on the upset.)

But what do you know? I go ahead and make this prediction just a few hours later.

Oh man I was wrong; 0-1 to start the week off. I love Josh Freeman and I have since he arrived in the league. Despite some struggles last season and earlier this season, the Buccaneers are putting it together on offense. With the addition of Vincent Jackson plus emergence of rookie Doug Martin, the Buccaneers are showing signs of life on offense (LeGarrette Blunt is finally not the lead back). The Vikings again will only go as far as Christian Ponder will take them. Adrian Peterson, only 10 months removed from an ACL tear, looks better each week while Percy Harvin looks like an offensive MVP. Are the Buccs that good or are the Vikings just that overrated?

While you Ponder on that (see what I did there?), lets look at the interesting matchups we have for week eight.

New England Patriots “@” St. Louis Rams

Analysis: This is a home game for the Rams but the two teams will be squaring off in England of all places. The Rams have struggled on the road and I dont expect them to change that this week. New England comes back after a close OT game versus the Jets last week.

Key Players: Stevan Ridley. The running back has struggled in his last two games to go along with some problems holding onto the ball. If Ridley gets things going, it will allow the Patriots offense to spread the ball around more effectively.

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans

Analysis: Again I bet against the Titans. Although they were road dogs last week and are home favorites this week, I am testing my Luck with the Colts (how many Luck comments can I make in one season?). Andrew Luck should be able to find his targets early and often. I expect this to be a high scoring affair.

Fantasy Stud: Chris Johnson. CJ continues to improve as a runner and the matchup certainly favors him in this game. Johnson’s home run ability has allowed the Titans to stay competitive (as of recently). Johnson is starting to hit the holes much better but which Colts D will show up to play? I expect CJ to have a nice game again this week.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Green Bay Packers

Analysis: No explanations needed here. Packers will win this one easily. (But I gotta add I feel for Jennings as he is in a contract year and can’t get on the field).

Key Player: Rashad Jennings. This is his opportunity to prove his worth in MJDs absence.

San Diego Chargers @ Cleveland Browns

Analysis: I feel as though this is a trap game of sorts. The majority of betting lines put this game at 3 or 3 1/2. With the way both teams have been playing, I would expect the Chargers to be at least six point favorites. Although the numbers are a bit skewed, Brandon Weeden is playing much better as of lately; his receivers need to learn how to catch the ball (pretend its toilet paper like in the little giants?).

Key Player: Coach Norv Turner. In a twist, Turner is the one to watch. If he loses this game then his seat (as well as GM AJ Smith’s seat) will be just a little hotter. The Chargers consistently underachieve and someone needs to take the blame. On the other side, Browns coach Pat Shurmur must win some games. With a new owner lurking and Holmgren on his way out the door, it doesn’t look like a story book ending for the Browns coach.

Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles

Analysis: Yes, I know the Andy Reid is 13-0 following the bye week and the Falcons have played in a number of close games and are probably due to lose one but I don’t think it is this week. Although the Eagles are favored to win this one, I believe Atl will get the best of this low scoring affair.

Key Player: Michael Vick. If he continues to turn the ball over, the Eagles have no shot at winning this game (don’t expect Matt Ryan to have a high turnover game as he did previously).

Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions

Analysis: I hate to do this but I am picking against the Lions. I thought this team showed so much promise and hope but they look like they are the same old Lions (almost). The Seahawks are keeping games close so I expect them to squeak one out this week.

Keep an Eye on: Seahawks corner Richard Sherman (the self proclaimed Optimus Prime) vs. Calvin Johnson (Megatron). Calvin Johnson was held to 3 catches on 11 targets last week against the Bears (& corner back Charles Tillman who is playing lights out right now!). Megatron isn’t usually held in check for multiple weeks in a row but Stafford & Johnson are struggling to connect. This will be a great matchup to watch.

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

Analysis: This has the making to be a brutal game for both teams. Tensions are growing between the two teams with jabs being taken at each other via the media. The Jets looked much better last week agains the Patriots and almost upset New England in OT. I like the Jets to win this close game.

Key Player: You already know- Mr. Mark Sanchez. Which Sanchez shows up to play Sunday?

Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears

Analysis: Cam Newton looked great last year (mostly because he was behind every game thus was able to sit back and throw the ball around) but this year is a different story. Newtons play has been subpar (to say the least). Additionally, Newtons leadership is in question as the former number one pick has made a number of negative comments to the media in his post game interviews ( he is starting to sound like JaMarcus Russell and thats a terrible thing). The Bears defense is playing steller right now and I expect them to keep it up against the shaky Panthers.

Key Player: Matt Forte. Forte hasn’t produced as many expected him to at this point in the season. Look for him to get the ground game rolling in this one.

Game of the Week: Washington Redskins @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Analysis: I expect this game to be dogfight from start to finish. Last week the Redskins narrowly lost to the Giants while the Steelers were able to handle the Bengals. While the Steelers are suffering from injuries, the defense finally looks as though things are coming together (even though they are without Troy again this week). It remains to be seen if the Steelers pass rush can disrupt RG3 and slow down the Redskins run game.

Key Player: London Fletcher. The heart and soul of the Redskins defense, Fletcher has never missed a game in fourteen seasons in the league. Although Fletcher is listed on the injury report, I expect him to play. His presence is vital if the Redskins want to be competitive in this game.

Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs

Analysis: It looks as though the Matt Cassel era may be over (or temporarily halted – depends on how terrible Brady Quinn plays). The Raiders, per usual, are up and down each week. One week the Raiders play the Falcons tough but the next they lay down and get lucky against a weak Jacksonville squad. Arrowhead is a tough place to play and while I like the Chiefs defense, I expect Quinn to struggle in this one.

Fantasy Stud: Jamaal Charles. Although I think the Raiders will be keying him very closely, I expect him to get plenty of touches in this game to make some noise in the fantasy box score.

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys

Analysis: Eli Manning just finds ways to win; it has been the story of this team since he joined. Manning and crew should be able to get the W in this tough division matchup. Although I am a fan of the Cowboys secondary, the absence of Sean Lee may be the nail in the coffin for this defense. Lee, an Upper Saint Clair High School alumni, has been a monster for the Cowboys for years.

Key Players: The Giants Secondary. Last week the Cowboy receivers were relatively held in check by the Panthers secondary but this week may be a different story. After being targeted 28 times in the previous two games, Dez Bryant only had three balls thrown his way. The Cowboys must get more production out of their receivers (including Witten) if they want to win this game.

Keep an Eye on: Felix Jones. Jones has never lived up to the expectations he came into the league with. A homerun hitter, Jones has trouble staying healthy. While he may get the start this week, don’t be surprised if Phillip Tanner has more carries when the game is finished.

New Orleans Saints @ Denver Broncos

Analysis: Peyton Manning and the Broncos look to take control of the AFC West after finishing off the Saints this week; the Saints defense is just too porous to handle the Bronco attack. While I don’t like this matchup for Drew Brees, you have to expect he will keep throwing and putting up stats to keep his team competitive.

Key Players: The Saints Defense. If they allow early touchdowns, expect a long day in Mile High.

Fantasy Stud: Peyton Manning. Expect the quarterback to put up solid numbers this week.

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals

Analysis: The 49ers had plenty of time to get the kinks out after a tough Thursday matchup vs the Seahawks. Vernon Davis must get things going to help open up the niner passing game. The Cardinals just look helpless as they have no offensive line or running game. I still don’t understand how or why John Skelton doesn’t throw the ball to Larry Fitzgerald more often?! Fitz finished with 4 catches on 7 targets but he doesn’t seem to get the passes thrown his way with Skelton at the helm.

Fantasy Stud: Frank Gore & Kendall Hunter.

Well expect another wild NFL week. Thanks for reading.

Newton or Romo? Giants or ‘Skins? Week Seven Predictions!

Let me start by saying nothing is worse than typing out everything for the week and losing it all because it didn’t save; this is rough.

What is also rough is how terrible I did last week. In the first week I make my picks public I finish a measly 5-9. On the bright side, I was accurate in saying we would have a number of close games, correct on a majority of my analysis and had some nice fantasy picks (and some duds).

I also dont feel too bad because only one of the “Top ESPN Analyst” finished above .500 (Chris Mortensen) while the other 11 (13 including accuscore & pick ’em) finished .500 or lower.

I am now 52-39 on the season. 

The NFL is really an Any Given Sunday League and last week proved it. We had a number of games go down to the wire. I’d much rather be incorrect on a majority of my picks if it means I get to watch a ton of super close and interesting games. ATL pulls it out AGAIN! Cowboys miss their opportunity. Lions roar back. Pack put it together. Shall I continue?  Did I mention I went 4-0 in my fantasy leagues last week though?

For Week 7, I am proud to admit I have started off on a good note. See the tweet below. The Seahawks are a tough team, especially at home, but they just couldn’t get it going to beat the Niners at Candlestick.

Now for the week seven picks:

Cleveland Browns @ Indianapolis Colts

Analysis: Cleveland might squeak out two in a row but I think Luck is on the Colts side (get it?).

Fantasy Pick: Trent Richardson

Green Bay Packers @ St. Louis Rams

Analysis: Are the Packers for real? The Rams defensive front has the ability to get to Aaron Rodgers and they better if they have any shot at winning this game. I still love Janoris Jenkins but how many people can he cover?

Key Players: Packers offensive line

Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills

Analysis: I am still high on this Buffalo team. If they can get Jackson and Spiller going, Tennessee might be in for a tough game.

Key Players: Chris Johnson. He looked better against the Steelers but he still isn’t hitting the holes and getting upfield!

Fantasy Pick: Kenny Britt

Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings

Analysis: Christian Ponder and the Vikings need to put it together this week. This team is only going to go as far as Christian Ponder will take them. Cardinals quarterback carousel continues as Skelton gets the start. The Cards need more than Larry Fitzgerald on offense; the man can’t carry the team himself.

Key Players: Percy Harvin. The X- Factor must continue to dominate whenever he is on the field.

Fantasy Pick: Adrian Peterson. He will find the end zone this week.

Washington Redskins @ New York Giants

Analysis: This is going to be one of those division rivalry games that the fans love. Eli is slinging the rock very well right now. Both teams are coming off games where they dismantled their opponents but can RGIII keep it up? The man looks as though he is going to a MVP in this league (if he stays healthy).

Fantasy Pick: Robert Griffin III

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Analysis: Josh Freeman is starting to pick things up and could have a nice game against the terrible Saints defense but I see the Saints pulling this one out. They are too talented on offense to be losing games like they are. This one has the makings to be a complete blowout or a close one. With the way the Saints have been playing, I am going to take the later.

Key Players: Jimmy Graham. The Tight End must get it going and stay healthy to keep this offense rolling.

Fantasy Pick: Drew Brees. He is carrying two of my fantasy teams. He will continue his fantasy destruction.

Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers

Analysis: The success and failures of these two teams really falls on both quarterbacks. Tony Romo, whom I am not a fan of, can look so good at times but then he makes bonehead plays. As for Cam Newton, maybe his confidence was too high? (He definitely looks more like Clark Kent than Superman this year). Cam needs his running game to get going agains the Cowboys D.

Key Players: Romo & Newton.

Fantasy Pick: Dez Bryant. Bryant has 28 targets in his last two games; look for him to get things going again.

Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans

Analysis: The Texans took a beating last week while the Ravens escaped another close one. Unfortunately the Ravens lost one of the best players that has ever graced a NFL field in Ray Lewis. Additionally, Lardarius Webb tore an ACL. As a result, the Texans will run all over the Ravens this week.

Key Players: The Ravens Defense. They can’t allow an abundance of rushing yards like they have this year.

Fantasy Pick: Arian Foster & Ben Tate. Both are going to get it going this week.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Oakland Raiders

Key Players: Darren McFadden. The guy has top three running back talent but he just doesn’t perform. He is just too good and too talented to not kill it week in and week out.

Fantasy Pick: Denarius Moore. The guy is just so talented and Palmer is finally to look his way a little more.

New York Jets @ New England Patriots

Analysis: New England looks as though they could be in panic mode. This is a must win for this team and they have had the Jets number year in and year out. The Jets looked impressive versus a weak Indy team but they are so inconsistent. Don’t be surprised if Jets O-Coordinator Tony Sparano pulls some crazy stuff out of the playbook this week versus the Patriots (remember when he installed the Wildcat vs the Pats?).

Key Players: Mark Sanchez. How much longer will he stay a starting quarterback? Tim Tebow isn’t the answer but Sanchez needs to prove his worth.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals

Analysis: This Steeler team is injury ridden and can’t hold a lead to save their lives. The Steelers are without Troy again this week but will, hopefully, have Woodley and Harrison at full strength. The Bengals are coming off a rough loss to the Browns but expect them to throw the ball at will against a weak Steelers secondary. I think this game comes down to the wire.

Key Players: The Steelers Defense. Again, this unit needs to get it together or the Steelers will end up in the bottom half of the AFC North.

Fantasy Pick: AJ GREEN!. Calvin Johnson 2.0 is slowly becoming one of the most dominant wide receivers in the NFL. I believe he is going to torch the Steelers defense this week.

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears

Analysis: The Lions came through when it mattered last week but they’ll have to play much better on offense to have any chance in this game. The Bears defense is looking absolutely stellar right now. IF they can (or attempt to) contain Calvin Johnson, the Bears will shut down the Lions offensive attack. Cutler must continue to make the correct reads and stop forcing balls.

Key Players: Matthew Stafford.

Fantasy Pick: Matt Forte. If the running back is healthy, I expect a big game out of him. He should get a number of touches on both the ground and in the air.

I expect a much better week this week than last. Let the games begin!

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