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The Betting Corner: Monday, April 29th 2013

April 29, 2013 by Leave a Comment

wasatl_mg1qwgp2_a5vu70k34-28-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – Toronto at NY Yankees

WIN: 1 Unit – Cincinnati at Washington (Under 7.5)

WIN: 1 Unit – Baltimore at Oakland

WIN: 1 Unit – LA Angels at Seattle

LOSS: 1 Unit – Atlanta at Detroit (Under 8) 

Season YTD: 33-29 +1.82 Units

Screen shot 2013-04-29 at 4.47.28 PM

Another big card on the day.  No time to do any write ups.  Picks are below.

___

1 Unit – Minnesota at Detroit (Over 8.5)

1 Unit – Pittsburgh at Milwaukee

1 Unit – Cincinnati at St Louis

1 Unit – San Francisco at Arizona (Under 8)

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The Betting Corner: MLB Sunday, April 28th, 2013

April 27, 2013 by Leave a Comment

nationals_1trh92a3_t8pxw4nr4-27-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – San Francisco at San Diego (-105)

Loss: 1 Unit – LA Angels at Seattle (Over 6.5)

Season YTD: 30-27 +1.07 Units

Back to the same old losing games by a thread.  San Fran blows a 5 run early lead to a team who has scored more than 5 runs in a game only 4 times all year.  2 times have been when we bet against them.  Great timing.  Is Seattle, we miss by 1 run.  Had the Angels been able to tie it up 3-3 we would have been able to cover even if it went to extras.  Big card tomorrow, not time to do any write ups though.

___

1 Unit – Toronto at NY Yankees

1 Unit – Cincinnati at Washington (Under 7.5)

1 Unit – Baltimore at Oakland

1 Unit – LA Angels at Seattle

1 Unit – Atlanta at Detroit (Under 8)

____________________________________________________________________________
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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The Betting Corner: MLB Thursday, April 25th, 2013

April 24, 2013 by Leave a Comment

Getty_Jose_Valverde_IS_BACK_BABY_i7etjxz4_a3as2vup4-24-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Arizona at San Francisco (+150)

LOSS: 1 Unit – Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (-120)

WIN: 1 Unit – Texas at LA Angels (Over 7.5)

LOSS: 0.5 Units – Kansas City at Detroit

WIN: 0.5 Units – Cleveland at Chi White Sox (Under 8)

Season YTD: 30-22 +6.37 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 12-9

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 7-14

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 15-6

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 8-15

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 8-11

___

We tack on 1.3 units yesterday, but it could have been a lot more IMO.  Tough to be frustrated with a winning day, but both our losses could have been avoided.  A costly error in Detroit opens up the floodgates to a 4 run inning (3B Mike Moustakas botched 2 ground balls in a row; one of which went right through his legs, costing us 4 runs in what could have been a win).  In Philly, another bullpen blows a 2 run lead we held the entire game late.  All 3 of our other wins were just as a suspected.  A coin flip of a game in San Fran goes our way, Cleveland and Chicago continue to have trouble scoring runs, and I’m pissed with a total of 7.5 I didn’t take the Angel game as a step out.  I had a feeling Texas could cover this one on their own with the pitching they were up against and they accomplished it in one inning.  We’re slowly grinding our way forward right now (which is a hell of a lot better than backwards) but we just can’t hit that break out day.  It’ll happen though, the streak will come. Until then, a slow profit is perfectly fine with me.

___

1 Unit – Texas at Minnesota (Over 8.5)

Texas hit the over for us last night themselves, we go back to them for the over in game 1 of their 4 game set with Minnesota.  Texas is on a tear at the plate of late and Minnesota is holding their own as well (scoring at least 4 runs in 4 of their last 5).  Vance Worley hasn’t proved he can pitch successfully at Target Field yet and last year he held an ERA a full 2 points higher at home vs on the road.  Texas sends to the mound rookie Nick Tepesch who has held his own early this 2013 campaign.  He’s yet to be weather tested in his young career and throwing in 30 degree weather against any MLB offense may prove itself to be a bit of a curveball.  Take the over.

 

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

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The Betting Corner: MLB Tuesday, April 23, 2013

April 22, 2013 by Leave a Comment

Getty_Felix_Hernandez_up_high_in_HOU_pqe51tns_s0zn52sh4-22-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (Over 7)

WIN: 1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox

Season YTD: 27-20 +5.07 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 10-9

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-14

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-5

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 8-13

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 8-10

___

We split Monday’s plays in an up and down emotional day.  We lose game 1 with the Yankees under; a game which had 6 runs scored in the first 3 and a half innings, only to result in 5 and a half shutout innings after that.  We make amends for it with a late come from behind victory in Chicago.  Asdrubal Cabrera has hopefully broke out of his early season woes (he’s on my fantasy team) with a game winning 2 out 2 run single in the top of the 8th to go up 3-2.  Just one play for Tuesday.

___

1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox (Under 8)

We go back to the Cleveland/Chicago series for a second consecutive day.  These two teams have met 4 times so far this year, hitting 3 of 4 on the under (covering by 3.5, 4, and 6.5 runs).  Chicago has been struggling to score runs of late averaging less than 2 runs per game in their last 4.  Cleveland seems to be scoring in bunches.  They’ve scored 3 or less in 3 of their last 5 with the other two coming against Houston Astros pitching (which isn’t saying much considering I saw a stat today in which I believe no starter has made it passed the 6th inning for them in like their last 7 games).

Both young pitchers have started off their 2013 campaign hot as well.  Even with a 1-2 record, Zach McAllister bolsters a 3.12 ERA.  He is however 2-0 in 4 starts against the Sox with a 2.66 ERA.  In his young career, he’s historically pitched much better on the road vs at hime with a split ERA of 3.30 away to 4.98 at home.  Quintana is coming off of 2 straight with no earned runs allowed (one was against Cleveland last week).  He’s got a 2.55 ERA with one win on the year.  Both have favorable batter/pitcher heads up matchups.  I’d prefer this one at 8.5, but it’s never going to get there.  If you’re not fast enough in betting this one, it may drop to 7.5 by game time.

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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The Betting Corner: MLB Sunday, April 21st, 2013

April 21, 2013 by Leave a Comment

redsox_7ddmxcww_yohzbng24-20-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Atlanta at Pittsburgh (+130)

WIN: 1 Unit – Arizona at Colorado (-111)

Season YTD: 25-17 +6.56 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 9-8

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-12

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-4

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 7-12

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 6-10

___

Solid 2-0 sweep yesterday as we were right on with our analysis.  Maholm gives up the three runs we’d hoped and McDonald pitched great giving up only 1 run on a walk.  Both bullpens were flawless as expected and we cash in on the 3-1 victory.  In Colorado, De La Rosa pitched lights out in their 4-3 victory against Arizona.  The bullpen made us sweat it a little more than we’d liked late, but they still got the job done.  Let’s see if we can ride the momentum and close the week on a high note.

___

1 Unit – LA Dodgers at Baltimore (-122)

Baltimore goes for the sweep today in their series finale against the Dodgers.  A late pitching change sends Stephen Fife to the mound for his Major League debut.  Arrieta is no Cy Young candidate, but the O’s offense should have a field day with a pitcher making his major league debut on the road.  At -122, this price seems like a steal.

___

1 Unit – Oakland at Tampa Bay (Over 8) (+100)

Outside of yesterday, Tampa Bay’s offense seems to be clicking this past week.  They face up against youngster Tom Milone and Oakland today.  Milone’s struggled in his 2 starts past against the Rays, holding a 1-1 record and 8.18 ERA.  Not only that, but his  career ERA is over a point and a half higher on the road than at home.

Roberto Hernandez (Fausto Carmona) is a league veteran but he hasn’t made a career of throwing shutouts.  He’s an innings eater and you can usually bank on him giving up a few runs per start.  In 13 career games against Oakland, he’s 4-7 with a 5.14 ERA.  Oakland’s offense has been putting up runs in bunches, and with a total of 8, I don’t see it a problem for each of these teams to score 4 runs a piece and hit the over for us.

___

1 Unit – St Louis at Philadelphia (Under 8.5) (-112)

The Phillies and Cardinals conclude their first series of the season under the lights on Sunday Night Baseball.  It’s no mystery the Fightin’ Phils haven’t been running well of late.  They’re struggling to put runs on the board and their record is suffering as a result.  They go up against Jake Westbrook tonight who bring a 1-1 record into tonights contest.  That’s odd considering he still hasn’t given up an earned run so far in 15 2/3 innings this 2013 campaign.  Unless the Phillies can break out of their slump and put a few crooked numbers on the board, expect another solid outing from Jake in this one.

The Phils send to the mound Kyle Kendrick, who holds a 1-1 record to date with a 3.38 ERA.  In his career against the Cardinals, he’s 5-1 over 6 starts with a 2.68 ERA.  He’s got to know he has to be sharp in this one to have a chance at a W considering the Phillies offense has been stagnant at best this year, scoring an average of just 3.5 runs per contest.  I’m expecting a pitchers duel in this one, and as long as the bullpens don’t implode late, we should be able to take the under to the bank.

 

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

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The Betting Corner: Friday, April 19th, 2013

April 19, 2013 by Leave a Comment

 

Pedro+Alvarez+St+Louis+Cardinals+v+Pittsburgh+toZ24eptwkQl

4-18-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – NY Mets at Colorado (Over 9.5)

PUSH: 1 Unit – St. Louis at Philadelphia (Under 7.5)

I said to wait until game day to bet this and it dropped to 7.  Sucks but it’s a lesson I’ll remember for future totals in the halves.

WIN: 1.5 Unit – Atlanta at Pittsburgh (-125)

Season YTD: 22-17 +3.26 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 7-8

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 4-11

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-2

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 7-10

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 5-9

___

Solid 2-0-1 day yesterday.  Could’ve and should’ve been a 3-0 day but as I stated above, that’s a solid lesson I’ll keep in the records.

___

1 Unit – Cleveland at Houston (Under 8.5)

Two offenses who have had trouble putting runs on the board meet up today.  Lucas Harrell’s thrown well so far this year and has faired well at home in his career.  Brett Myers has struggled so far this 2013 campaign but Houston is a team that scores runs in bunches.  They’ve struggled at the plate of late and that may be just what Brett needs to put a good start together.  I’ll roll with the under.

 

____________________________________________________________________________
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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The Betting Corner: Wednesday, April 17th, 2013

April 16, 2013 by Leave a Comment

AP311845831536_70g6tzi3_8ovap3cw4-16-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Kansas City at Atlanta (Over 7)

WIN: 1 Unit – Detroit at Seattle (Over 7)

Season YTD: 20-16 +1.76 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 6-7

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 4-10

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 12-1

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 6-9

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 5-7

___

A much needed sweep for the day brings us out of the red for the season.  Finally we get the better end of the stick with a few late covers.  Atlanta tacks on 3 solo shots and Detroit picks up 2 for the late wins in the 8th innings.

___

1 Unit – Philadelphia at Cincinatti

After their game was postponed in the 9th in a 0-0 draw, Philly and Cincy get back at it Wednesday for game 3 of their opening series against one another.  Even on the road, the matchup favors Philadelphia so were going with them as a live underdog.

John Lannan (2.77 ERA in 2 no decisions this year) faces off against Mike Leake (6.75 ERA in 2 no decisions this year).  Leake has struggled against the Fightin’ Phils in the past holding an 0-3 mark with a 9.33 ERA in 5 starts.  Lannan on the other hand is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA in 4 career starts against Cincy.  We’ve seen lately too that outside of Aroldis Chapman, the Cincinatti bullpen has been struggling to get anybody out.

____________________________________________________________________________
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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The Betting Corner: Tuesday, April 16th, 2013

April 16, 2013 by Leave a Comment

AP13041512215_uqgvr2jr_0p3nqa284-15-13 Recap:

CANCELED: 1 Unit – NY Mets at Colorado (Under 10)

Season YTD: 18-16 -.24 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 6-7

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 4-9

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 11-1

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 6-8

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 5-6

___

Didn’t get to take advantage of the wind, snow, and cold as the game was cancelled.  Game has been rescheduled today and has been pushed back a few hours.  We’re not betting it again though as there probably won’t be any snow and the wind is blowing out to left today.  Still 2 totals on the table though.

___

1 Unit – Kansas City at Atlanta (Over 7)

This is one of those law of averages plays.  Guthrie has been good so far this year and Medlen has been great.  But if you think about it, for at the very least, to get a push in this game each team has to score just 3 runs.  This COULD definitely go under but if this game were to be played out 100 times, my odds are that at least 60 will push or go over the total.

___

1 Unit – Detroit at Seattle (Over 7)

This game’s somewhat the same as the first.  Doug Fister has been good so far this year but he’s not going to maintain a 2.77 ERA all year.   Veteran Aaron Harang makes his first appearance of the year against the American League Champion Tigers.  I don’t see any way both these teams can’t score a minimum of 3 runs a piece to at least get a push.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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The Betting Corner: Sunday, April 14th, 2013

April 14, 2013 by Leave a Comment

AP369123553384ooo_uhkp30tn_hnug1zuz4-13-13 Recap:

1 Unit – NY Mets at Minnesota (-125)

1 Unit – Toronto at Kansas City (-130)

2 Units – LA Dodgers at Arizona Under 9 (-120)

Season YTD: 18-14 +1.76 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 5-6

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 4-7

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 10-1

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 5-8

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 5-5

___

Last night was a microcosm of our season in a nutshell.  Once again we suffer from a reversion to the mean (I told you it will catch up to you).  Ian Kennedy gets lit up by the Dodgers, but it could have been avoided.  The game was going well into the 5th when a few runs were scored.  That’s fine.  I’m more concerned about the 6th inning when Kennedy gets 2 quick outs and then gives up a hit (the third of the game) to Ryu the pitcher.  Needless to say, 3 runs were scored in that inning.  A pitcher getting 3 hits in a game probably happens in less than 1% of games played.  It was all downhill from their changing the context of the game completely.  Frustrating, but all we can do is move on and keep grinding.

___

1 Unit – Cincinnati (-1.5) at Pittsburgh

Wandy Rodriguez is out for this one and Pitt is forced to make a late call up from AAA in Phil Irwin (I’ve never heard of him either).  This is an ideal spot for Cincy to get out of the offensive rut they’re in.  No way I expect them to get swept in this one.  And with Latos on the mound who’s got a 2.84 ERA with 13 K’s in two no decisions this year (also 4-0 in 6 starts with a 2.11 ERA in his career against Pitt)

1 Unit – Colorado at San Diego (Over 8)

The way Colorado’s offense is pounding the baseball doesn’t bode well for the under in this one.  Richard has struggled against the like of Tulo, Rosario, and Helton in the past.  That and Jorge De la Rosa hasn’t been able to solve the Padres in their recent history together either.  PetCo has moved their fences in this year and it seems to have been making a difference so far compared to the pitchers park sanctuary it was last year.

 

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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The Betting Corner: Saturday, April 13th, 2013

April 13, 2013 by Leave a Comment

385_zysdvuvy_prkjbjmo4-12-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-101)

LOSS: 1 Unit – Atlanta at Washington (-129)

WIN: 1 Unit – Chi White Sox at Cleveland (-135)

WIN: 1 Unit – NY Mets at Minnesota (-102)

WIN: 1 Unit – LA Dodgers at Arizona Under 8 (-110)

LOSS: 1 Unit – Houston at LA Angels (-1.5) (+115)

Season YTD: 17-12 +3.86 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 4-6

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 4-6

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 9-1

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 5-7

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 4-5

Mets and the Dodgers/Diamondbacks Under we’re never in question. We finally win a close moneyline game with Cleveland.  Would’ve been nice to win just 1 of the remaining three games but Cincinnati’s comeback efforts go for nothing after battling back the whole game only to give up the lead immediately after tying the game.  It’s in those situations you hope your bullpen can come in and get a quick 1-2-3- inning to get you back in the dugout.  And of all bullpens, the Nationals keep us from a winning day blowing a late game against Atlanta.  Oh yeah, and I don’t even know what to say about the Angels.  Yesterday was a perfect scenario for them to make a stand for an early comeback for the season.  Definitely didn’t pan out that way.

Seems like we just can’t get back on track to our winning ways early in the season.  This is how baseball goes, you just hope you can tread water till you can get a couple solid days under your belt and then do it all over again.  Back to the grind over the weekend.

___

1 Unit – NY Mets at Minnesota (-125)

Matt Harvey seems to be the real deal.  He’s had to great starts to begin the season (2-0 w/ a 0.64 ERA in 14 IP with 19 Ks) and shouldn’t have to much trouble with the struggling Twins.  His opponent in Scott Diamond hasn’t thrown in a game yet this year due to starting the season on the DL recovering from elbow surgery.  He pitched well last year but has average stats for the most part throughout his young career.  With the depth the Mets have in their lineup, -125 is a solid number to deal with.

___

1 Unit – Toronto at Kansas City (-130)

James Shields makes his debut in Kansas City as a Royal facing off against the veteran knuckelballer RA Dickey.  Coming from the AL East contender Rays, Shields has plenty of experience with the Toronto lineup.  The Jays definitely had a few personnel changes this offseason, but with his 11-5 career mark holding an ERA of 3.24, I think he can come out on top of this one.

___

2 Units – LA Dodgers at Arizona Under 9 (-120)

We’re rolling out our first step out game of the year today, and it’s a doozy.  This game should probably be close to 7 or 7.5 at the absolute most. 9 seems like a gift.  Hyun-Jin Ryu has proven his worth so far this year.  He’s 1-1 so far with a 2.13 ERA.  I don’t think his first road game should get to him, and I see him rising to the occasion.

Ian Kennedy has faired well against the Dodgers in the past and has great batter/pitcher numbers against roughly the entire team.  Here’s their starting lineup from yesterday, and his numbers against them.

Hairston, J, LF-3B   –   0-5

Ellis, M, 2B   –   0-6

Kemp, CF   –   4-16

Gonzalez, Ad, 1B   –   2-16

Uribe, 3B   –   0-8

b-Crawford, C, PH-LF   –   2-9

Tolleson, P   –   0-0

Howell, P   –   0-0

Ethier, RF   –   5-20

Ellis, A, C   –   2-9

Sellers, SS   –   1-3

a-Punto, PH-SS   –   0-3

Total: 16-95 (.168 AVG)

That’s no small sample size either.  He’s 5-2 in his career with a 3.24 ERA.  He’s also faired slightly better at home in his career which helps us here.

Both bullpens are fresh and ready to go in this one too.  Each has only pitched 7 2/3 innings in their last 3 games.

Nothing really points against us in this game except that maybe Ryu is making his first start on the road.  But let’s be real, he not exactly from here, so every game could be considered a road game to him.  Expect a 3-1 or 4-2 kind of contest in this one.

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
Sports Activist for The Cover 4
http://www.facebook.com/thecover4
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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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