The Betting Corner: MLB Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Getty_Felix_Hernandez_up_high_in_HOU_pqe51tns_s0zn52sh4-22-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (Over 7)

WIN: 1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox

Season YTD: 27-20 +5.07 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 10-9

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-14

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-5

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 8-13

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 8-10

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We split Monday’s plays in an up and down emotional day.  We lose game 1 with the Yankees under; a game which had 6 runs scored in the first 3 and a half innings, only to result in 5 and a half shutout innings after that.  We make amends for it with a late come from behind victory in Chicago.  Asdrubal Cabrera has hopefully broke out of his early season woes (he’s on my fantasy team) with a game winning 2 out 2 run single in the top of the 8th to go up 3-2.  Just one play for Tuesday.

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1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox (Under 8)

We go back to the Cleveland/Chicago series for a second consecutive day.  These two teams have met 4 times so far this year, hitting 3 of 4 on the under (covering by 3.5, 4, and 6.5 runs).  Chicago has been struggling to score runs of late averaging less than 2 runs per game in their last 4.  Cleveland seems to be scoring in bunches.  They’ve scored 3 or less in 3 of their last 5 with the other two coming against Houston Astros pitching (which isn’t saying much considering I saw a stat today in which I believe no starter has made it passed the 6th inning for them in like their last 7 games).

Both young pitchers have started off their 2013 campaign hot as well.  Even with a 1-2 record, Zach McAllister bolsters a 3.12 ERA.  He is however 2-0 in 4 starts against the Sox with a 2.66 ERA.  In his young career, he’s historically pitched much better on the road vs at hime with a split ERA of 3.30 away to 4.98 at home.  Quintana is coming off of 2 straight with no earned runs allowed (one was against Cleveland last week).  He’s got a 2.55 ERA with one win on the year.  Both have favorable batter/pitcher heads up matchups.  I’d prefer this one at 8.5, but it’s never going to get there.  If you’re not fast enough in betting this one, it may drop to 7.5 by game time.

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

The Betting Corner : NBA Round 1, Day 3 & 4

NBA Betting Corner Round 1, Day 3 & 4

Bracket

Welcome! To the NBA Playoffs Betting Corner.

4/22/13

8PM ET on TNT

Series 0-1

          Chicago Bulls @ Brooklyn Nets          

 –

10.30PM ET on TNT

Series 0-1

Memphis Grizzlies @ Los Angeles Clippers

—–

4/23/13

7.30PM ET on NBATV

Series 0-1

Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat

 –

8PM ET on TNT

Series 0-1

Boston Celtics @ New York Knicks

 –

10.30PM ET on TNT

Series 0-1

Golden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets

  –

Our Sunday started out with an easy win as the total in the Indiana-Atlanta game went over. The Lakers-Spurs game (+9) was really close. The Bucks kept it close in the first half but just had a total meltdown in the second half. In the last game of the night, we had the total over 213 and the final score totaled up to 211,If you watched the game, you’re just as frustrated as me.

YTD Season: 3-4-1

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In the first game of the night, the Brooklyn Nets will continue to route the Chicago Bulls. I had the Bulls +5 because the Bulls are still a great defensive team and with Joakim Noah back, things were promising. Apparently not. The most productive center in the league, Brook Lopez, is playing great along with Deron Williams who’s been on a tear since the All-Star break. Noah came back but wasn’t a huge factor. The Chicago starters combined for just 50 points while the Brooklyn starters combined for 78.

Key(s) to winning- Rebounds

1 Unit (Brooklyn Nets -5)

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In primetime comes the highlight reel Los Angeles Clippers who will try to take a 2-0 lead in their series. The Clippers’ bench only scored nine more points than the Grizzlies bench but the difference in the game was rebounding, The Clippers out-rebounded the Grizzlies 47-23. There’s a saying in basketball, you control the board/paint, and you control the game. The Grizzlies just don’t have enough intensity to match up with the Clippers, especially in Los Angeles.

Key(s) to winning- Rebounds + Bench Production

1 Unit- (Los Angeles Clippers -5.5)

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On Tuesday we have the Miami Heat taking on the Milwaukee Bucks in what looks to be a four-game sweep for the King and his gang. Even though Brandon Jennings showed up and played a decent game in Game 1, the picture shows exactly what happened on Sunday. King James took matters into his own hands and flirted with a triple-double as the Heat erased any doubt in Jennings’ mind that the Bucks will win in six. In summary, the Bucks simply can’t handle the Heat. And with another blowout in mind, I don’t see any value in taking either the total points because it could go either way in a blowout situation.

Key(s) to winning- King James leading the way

0 Unit- (No value in either points or total)

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In more Tuesday action we have the still emotional Boston Celtics at New York taking on the Knicks and like I predicted in Game 1, the Celtics did put up a fight and could have easily covered the game, but were held to eight points in the fourth quarter. Boston also turned the ball over several times in the final two minutes. While emotions ran high during the first game, I feel like the Knicks showed the Celtics first hand why they are 31-10 at home this season. With New York’s stellar defense in the second half forcing turnovers, and with Boston lacking a true point guard, the Celtics had plenty of trouble taking care of the ball. I predict that the Celtics will win outright in Game 3 at home for their home crowd, but for Game 2, take the Knicks.

Key(s) to winning- 3pt% & FT%

1 Unit- (Knicks -6.5)

David-Lee-will-miss-the-rest-of-the-season.-Garrett-Ellwood-NBA-Getty-Images

The nightcap on Tuesday features a GoldenState team that is missing David Lee for the remainder of the playoffs. I had predicted that the Warriors would put up a fight and make it a tough series with Lee and Andrew Bogut being paint problems for the Denver Nuggets but it’s not happening now.The Warriors lost their main low-post threat and about 20 points per game to go along with 10 rebounds per game. With that in mind, the Nuggets were lucky to come out with a win via a buzzer-beater by 37-year-old veteran Andre Miller, who came off the bench with 28 points. It doesn’t look like George Karl will have the need to play Kenneth Faried with Lee out of the picture, so were going to keep going with the under for Game 2.

Key(s) to winning- Points in the paint

1 Unit- (Total under 207)

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

NBA Awards

After another exciting year of basketball, David & James are tackling the hottest questions. Predictions on all NBA awards!!

 

durant

Most Valuable Player:

David: LeBron James (MIA) – The obvious choice. Chris Paul should also be noted, the Clippers would be nowhere without him, but it’s hard to argue with the season LeBron and the Heat have had.

James: LeBron James (MIA) I don’t think you can go with anyone else. Melo and Paul might take a vote or two but LeBron is the most complete player we have ever seen. 

Rookie of the Year:

David: Damian Lillard (POR) – Led all rookies in scoring and assists while providing the Blazers with another legitimate threat alongside LaMarcus Aldridge to build for the future. He is an up and coming star to watch.

James: Damian Lillard (POR) – Lillard was an absolute monster for the Trail Blazers this year. He was brilliant scoring and passing the ball. I think we have a star!

Sixth Man of the Year:

David: J.R. Smith (NYK) –  Led all 6th men in points per game at 18.1 (a new career high for him) and provided a much-needed spark down the stretch for the Knicks.

James: J.R. Smith (NYK) – David and I agree 3 for 3 thus far. Smith came into the season with a new attitude and it showed. Smith has always been a score first player, this year he learned how to be more efficient. It should be added that Jamal Crawford was the run away leader at the all star break.

Defensive Player of the Year: 

David: Larry Sanders (MIL) –  Finished 2nd in the league in blocked shots (2.83 bpg) and 12th in rebounding (9.5 rpg); better player than many expected him to be coming out of VCU.

James: Serge Ibaka (OKC) – I may be alone in voting for Ibaka, who should have won the award last year, but he was yet again a monster on defense.

Most Improved Player of the Year: 

David: James Harden (HOU) – We all knew he had superstar potential, but a 10 ppg increase in only 7 additional minutes per game on a new team showed the world just how good he is, not to mention averaging nearly 6 assists and 2 steals per game.

James: Paul George (IND) – I am with David on voting for Harden but George finally showed what he was made of. He played outstanding this season and even had some great games against Lebron James.

Coach of the Year:

David: George Karl (DEN) – The Nuggets (57-25) finished one game out of 2nd and 3 games out of first in the Western Conference. With that roster, no one saw that coming, but their entertaining and hard-working style ran teams off the court at times this year.

James: George Karl (DEN) –  I am just echoing David. Karl had his boys playing team ball week in and week out.

All NBA First Team

David: Chris Paul (LAC), Kobe Bryant (LAL), LeBron James (MIA), Kevin Durant (OKC), Tim Duncan (SA)

James: Chris Paul (LAC), Lebron James (MIA), Carmelo Anthony (NY), Kevin Durant (OKC), Marc Gasol (MEM)

All NBA Breakout Team

David: James Harden (HOU), Paul George (IND), Brook Lopez (BKN), Damian Lillard (POR), Larry Sanders (MIL)

James: Russell Westbrook (OKC), Stephen Curry (GSW), James Harden (HOU), Paul George (IND), Brook Lopez (BKN)

All NBA Disappointment Squad

David: Nicolas Batum (POR), Andrew Bynum (PHI), Jeremy Lin (HOU), Darren Collison (DAL), Rodney Stuckey (DET)

James: Andrew Bynum (PHI), Dwight Howard (LAL), Jeremy Lin (HOU), Eric Gordon (NOP), Evan Turner (PHI)

Most Disappointing Team

David: Los Angeles Lakers –  All of the hype coming into the season was foiled by injuries, coaching changes, and a lack of chemistry. They are lucky to even be in the playoffs and are a lock for a first round exit without Kobe Bryant against the Spurs.

James: Los Angeles Lakers – This is the only choice. My NBA Championship pick (you would think I would learn teams dont win in the offseason) flopped. I don’t think anyone saw this coming.

Biggest Surprise

David: The Spurs have done it again – Year after year they appear to be too old, not enough support around their big 3, etc. Yet here they are again, 2nd in the Western Conference, and primed for a playoff run if Manu Ginobili can get healthy.

James: The Clippers Win the Division – Last year, Chris Paul helped the Clippers turn the corner. This year, he took them to another level. Lob City was tremendous to watch this year. They are talented, deep and just so fun to watch.

NBA Finals Matchup & Champion:

David: Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder –  Miami in 5, could even be a sweep. Securing home court allowed their bench to get in rhythm and their starters to get healthy. A repeat for the Heat is all but a guarantee.

James: Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder – Thunder in 7. I don’t really see anyone beating the Heat 4 times but maybe this is wishful thinking. While they might be missing Harden (maybe a little), Durant and Westbrook have both elevated their games.

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