The Betting Corner: MLB Monday, April 22nd, 2013

trumbo_qhn7sorw_ykpgxx4f4-21-13 Recap:

LOSS: 1 Unit – LA Dodgers at Baltimore (-122)

WIN: 1 Unit – Oakland at Tampa Bay (Over 8) (+100)

LOSS: 1 Unit – St Louis at Philadelphia (Under 8.5) (-112)

Season YTD: 26-19 +5.22 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 10-8

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-13

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-5

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 7-13

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 7-10

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Well, Mitchell Boggs did it to us again.  Last time we had the Cards over the Reds and the St Louis bullpen blew up for almost a double digit inning.  Sunday, we had a 2 run leeway going into the bottom of the 8th.  Needless to say, Boggs gave up twice that and we end the week on a losing note.  Onto tomorrow…

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1 Unit – NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (Over 7)

The Yankees take on the Rays for their first series of the year Monday.  Veteran CC Sabathia faces off against newcomer Matt Moore.  Sabathia has 29 career starts against TB, going 10-9 with a 3.19 ERA.  Matt Moore is 2-2 over 4 starts with a 5.06 ERA.  7 runs is just too low for this game.  Tampa Bay’s offense is on a good run of late and it’s not too much to ask this injury ridden NY offense to score a minimum of 3 runs.  If each team hits that number we’re guaranteed at least a push.  It always seems when the AL east plays one another, starting pitchers have trouble getting into late innings due to pitch counts.  Hopefully that’s the case tomorrow.

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1 Unit – Cleveland at Chi White Sox

Justin Masterson has had quite a solid start to is 2013 campaign.  Tomorrow, he faces off against the White Sox, a team who he threw a complete game shut out against not two weeks ago.  He’s got a 2.46 ERA against Chi town in his career.  Dylan Axelrod on the other hand has had only one start against Cleveland where he gave up 4 runs in less than 5 innings.  At even money, considering the Indians have scored 24 runs in their last 2 games (Chicago has scored 4), I’ll look for them to make it 3 in a row.

 

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TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

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The Betting Corner: MLB Sunday, April 21st, 2013

redsox_7ddmxcww_yohzbng24-20-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Atlanta at Pittsburgh (+130)

WIN: 1 Unit – Arizona at Colorado (-111)

Season YTD: 25-17 +6.56 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 9-8

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 5-12

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 13-4

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 7-12

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 6-10

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Solid 2-0 sweep yesterday as we were right on with our analysis.  Maholm gives up the three runs we’d hoped and McDonald pitched great giving up only 1 run on a walk.  Both bullpens were flawless as expected and we cash in on the 3-1 victory.  In Colorado, De La Rosa pitched lights out in their 4-3 victory against Arizona.  The bullpen made us sweat it a little more than we’d liked late, but they still got the job done.  Let’s see if we can ride the momentum and close the week on a high note.

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1 Unit – LA Dodgers at Baltimore (-122)

Baltimore goes for the sweep today in their series finale against the Dodgers.  A late pitching change sends Stephen Fife to the mound for his Major League debut.  Arrieta is no Cy Young candidate, but the O’s offense should have a field day with a pitcher making his major league debut on the road.  At -122, this price seems like a steal.

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1 Unit – Oakland at Tampa Bay (Over 8) (+100)

Outside of yesterday, Tampa Bay’s offense seems to be clicking this past week.  They face up against youngster Tom Milone and Oakland today.  Milone’s struggled in his 2 starts past against the Rays, holding a 1-1 record and 8.18 ERA.  Not only that, but his  career ERA is over a point and a half higher on the road than at home.

Roberto Hernandez (Fausto Carmona) is a league veteran but he hasn’t made a career of throwing shutouts.  He’s an innings eater and you can usually bank on him giving up a few runs per start.  In 13 career games against Oakland, he’s 4-7 with a 5.14 ERA.  Oakland’s offense has been putting up runs in bunches, and with a total of 8, I don’t see it a problem for each of these teams to score 4 runs a piece and hit the over for us.

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1 Unit – St Louis at Philadelphia (Under 8.5) (-112)

The Phillies and Cardinals conclude their first series of the season under the lights on Sunday Night Baseball.  It’s no mystery the Fightin’ Phils haven’t been running well of late.  They’re struggling to put runs on the board and their record is suffering as a result.  They go up against Jake Westbrook tonight who bring a 1-1 record into tonights contest.  That’s odd considering he still hasn’t given up an earned run so far in 15 2/3 innings this 2013 campaign.  Unless the Phillies can break out of their slump and put a few crooked numbers on the board, expect another solid outing from Jake in this one.

The Phils send to the mound Kyle Kendrick, who holds a 1-1 record to date with a 3.38 ERA.  In his career against the Cardinals, he’s 5-1 over 6 starts with a 2.68 ERA.  He’s got to know he has to be sharp in this one to have a chance at a W considering the Phillies offense has been stagnant at best this year, scoring an average of just 3.5 runs per contest.  I’m expecting a pitchers duel in this one, and as long as the bullpens don’t implode late, we should be able to take the under to the bank.

 

____________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for reading The Cover 4! Don’t forget to follow us on Facebook & Twitter.

Oh yeah, tell your friends too!

Jeremy Murray
Sports Activist for The Cover 4
http://www.facebook.com/thecover4
http://www.twitter.com/thecover4

 

TheCover4.com is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling.  We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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