The Betting Corner: Friday, April 5th, 2013

31139365-mjs_brewers_spring_training4-4-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Kansas City at Chi White Sox Under 8.5 (-110)

Season YTD: 8-0 +8.26 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 1-2

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 1-2

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 2-1

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 2-2

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 2-1

We keep the undefeated start to our season alive with an easy win in Chicago.  Other than a 4 run fifth inning, nothing but zeros and we take it to the bank.  In hindsight I regret not betting the Yankee game but what can you do.  In our futures watch, Pitt squanders their home opening series to the Cubs and Oakland splits with Seattle 2-2.  Both Atlanta and Cleveland fail to sweep and lose their first games of the season.  On a full card Friday, only 1 play again.  Let see if we can make it 9.


1 Unit – Arizona at Milwaukee (-116)

It’s the much anticipated debut for Kyle Lohse after signing late with the Brewers this spring.  Some will say he held off to long for his contract but he’s on a team now so that’s all behind us.  That being said, this line kind of baffles me.  Opening up in the -115 to -120 range, in his home opener, with a new team, after going 16-3 with a 2.86 ERA last year.  Vegas is acting like he just came off Tommy John surgery or something. He missed a few games in spring… Who the f#&k cares!  Most pitchers are working on mechanical issues early on in spring anyways.  He was just doing it with Scott Boras in lovely So Cal rather than against a bunch of AAA guys who are trying to make an opening day roster.

Not only that, but Milwaukee doesn’t exactly have a bunch of scrubs behind him on offense.  Hell, the Twins just took 2 of 3 from the AL champ Tigers with just Mauer, Morneau, and Willingham.  The Brewers march to the plate the likes of Rickie Weeks, Ryan Braun (who is 2 for 5 in his career against Miley with 2 HR), and Aramis Ramirez.  That’s a pretty solid 2 though 4 if you ask me.

Oh yeah, and another thing, last years stats don’t lie.  Lohse went 1-0 in 11 2/3 innings last year against the Diamondbacks, giving up only 1 run.  The D-Backs counter punch – Wade Miley – gave up 11 earned runs in 9 2/3 sporting a 1-1 record.  Miley just hasn’t been the same pitcher that started off hot last April (3-0 with a 1.29 ERA).  He was 2-2 with a 5.90 ERA in September and ended the season with a no decision in October giving up 3 ER in that game.  Not to mention this spring he gave up 11 runs in 13.1 IP and batters are sporting a .333 average against him.  Yes, I realize Lohse may have a tiny pitch limit attached in this one (That’s really the only reason this isn’t a 1.5 unit play).  It’s most likely going to be just south of 100 pitches.  I don’t think the Brewers bullpen will struggle after having a day off I highly doubt Axford goes 0-2 to start off the season with save opportunities (if it even comes to that).


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Jeremy Murray
Guest Sports Activist for The Cover 4 is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site of any kind. We are simply here to provide information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.

All information regarding gambling is intended to be purely educational from an academic perspective, and not to actually encourage gambling. We are in no way condoning gambling and are not affiliated with any and all casinos/sports books mentioned.

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