The Betting Corner: Thursday, April 4, 2013

Detroit Tigers v New York Yankees - Game Two
4-3-13 Recap:

WIN: 1 Unit – Philadelphia at Atlanta Over 7.5 (+100)

WIN: 1 Unit – Texas at Houston Under 8.5 (-115)

WIN: 1 Unit – San Francisco at LA Dodgers Over 6.5 (-115)

Season YTD: 7-0 +7.26 Units

MLB Futures Watch:

.5 Units: Pittsburgh Pirates Under 77 (-110) 1-1

1 Unit: Houston Astros Under 59.5 (-110) 1-2

1 Unit: Atlanta Braves Over 87.5 (-110) 2-0

1 Unit: Seattle Mariners Over 77 (-125) 2-1

1.5 Units: Cleveland Indians Over 77 (-110) 2-0

Another 3-0 day yesterday as we cover both the overs by the end of the 7th (as I suspected) and the under by 4.5 runs.  A lot less stress than our close games on opening day.  Either or, I’ll take a 7-0 start to the season any way I can get it.  11 games on the card for Thursday.  I don’t think the Yankees will get swept to start the season at home, especially with a veteran like Pettitte on the mound.  I just don’t think the number is right.  It’s still inflated just because the Yankee name behind the number.  The same with the Blue Jays (not getting swept at home) but -160 is a joke.  If you can get it in the -130/-135 range go for it.  Otherwise, just stick with the one total for the day.

___

1 Unit – Kansas City at Chi White Sox Under 8.5 (-110)

Game 3 of this AL Central clash involving the Royals and White Sox brings together Jeremy Guthrie and Gavin Floyd on the mound.  Both have had solid stats in the past few years, nothing amazing, nothing out of the ordinary.  Right around par for MLB.

However, each of their last 5 starts against the respective opponents have been far better than average.  Guthrie has lasted 6, 8, 7 2/3, 8. and 7 innings giving up 1, 0, 0, 0, and 4 earned runs respectively.  Gavin Floyd has chalked up 7, 7 2/3, 8, 7, and 7 2/3 innings giving up 2, 0, 2, 4, and 1 runs each start.  Given these two teams average offensive production through the first two games I expect this one to go under the posted total.

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